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Strategies & Market Trends : Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: crashwatch who wrote (40857)	7/11/2025 4:27:26 PM
From: bob_o	1 Recommendation Recommended By humble1 Respond to of 41166

Here are a couple of H-L-H projections that use some Fibo and go along with the timeframe of your projected high. Using the low from which the rally really got going (4/21/25): 2/19/25 --> 4/21/25 = 61 CD 1 + .618034^2 = 1.382 (not untypical for a corrective rally-to-decline timespan ratio) 1.382 * 61 = 84.3 CD 4/21/25 + 84.3 CD = 7/14/25 Now using the initial high on 12/6/24: 12/6/24 --> 4/21/25 = 136 CD 4/21/25 --> 7/14/25 = 84 CD 84/136 = .618 A seemingly ideal match for your Monday/Tuesday projected high! We'll see if it works.

To: crashwatch who wrote (40857)	8/13/2025 12:34:37 PM
From: crashwatch	2 Recommendations Recommended By bob_o humble1 Respond to of 41166

The ultimate long term low-low-high-high? Today is an interesting day in this regard. For the S&P 500, the data I have says an important low occurred on June 14, 1949, which some consider to be the end of the bear market that started in 1929. Another important low occurred October 4, 1974, with an important high following on March 24, 2000. Looking at the number of days between these dates: June 14, 1949 to October 4, 1974 = 9,243 days October 4, 1974 to March 24, 2000 = 9,303 days March 24, 2000 to today (August 13, 2025) = 9,273 days which is the average of these two time periods above. Makes me think we are still in the zone for a turn, though my best guess was last month as posted at that time.