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To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (36313)2/24/1998 6:50:00 PM
From: Jurgen  Respond to of 61433
 
Elroy,

i don't want to start a new discussion, but let me say this: after 36 times the probability for red was unchanged at 50%. But the players thought the probability of having red 37 times in a row is (0.5)^37 ~ 0.00000000001 so they figured their chance for black was near 100%. Bad mistake, it was still 50%....

Jurgen