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Strategies & Market Trends : The Financial Collapse of 2001 Unwinding -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (13662)8/9/2025 8:07:32 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 13770
 
Why will the Putin-Trump agreement be important for trade?

The US has lost exports to Russia since 2014. China gained at the US expense.

The agreement could reverse this situation

President Trump will beet Putin Aug, 15th. It may open a new era if they focus on business




To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (13662)8/12/2025 1:34:19 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 13770
 
Why is President Trump acting right? He recognizes the reality of the US economy. It is the end of an era and Trump is acting accordingly.
  • That time that the Fed gathered data and decided Interest Rates was when the US was a strong economy. It worked like that:
  • Fed would lower interest rates. Banks injected liquidity into the market. Factories hiked up production. People would consumed more. GDP would go up.
  • Nowadays? The Fed uses data to calibrate Interest Rates for the bond market.
  • Any wrong move and the Fed can crash the stock market where the pensions of millions of people are invested
  • If Americans get more money they just buy more stuff from China. Not from an American factory
  • As you can see, president Trump is not gutting the Fed


  • When the US had a strong economy, it could be open
  • USD was the world currency and as such it moved freely, in and out of the US banks
  • As the economy shrinks, vis a vi the rest, it needs to act like a normal country imposing controls.
  • Hence the state intervening.



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (13662)9/2/2025 3:20:44 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 13770
 
This time the US trick did not work.
WWI
The outbreak of World War I caused many disruptions in the American economy even before we entered the conflict two-and-a-half years later. With Russian grain exports blockaded, demand for American wheat soared, as did allied orders for ships, railroad rails, munitions, and other war matériel.

As a result, prices rose nearly 100 percent in the first two years of the war. When the United States entered the conflict, the federal government set up a series of boards to negotiate prices with producers to see that prices stayed in check while assuring a supply of vital materials. The Price Fixing Committee set maximum prices for such materials as coal and steel, but these maximum prices quickly became the standard prices. The only commodity that had a fixed price by statute was wheat.

With the end of the war 20 months later, the American economy soon returned to normal. Prices fell back to more modest levels, partly due to the very sharp, but short, recession of 1920-21.


WWII
The U.S. blocked oil to Japan in 1941 as a response to Japan's aggressive actions in Indochina, which was part of a broader strategy known as the " ABCD line" involving the U.S., Britain, China, and the Netherlands.

The U.S. also froze Japanese assets in July 1941, and the ensuing oil embargo on August 1, 1941, was a crucial factor that pushed Japan to pursue its " Southern Operation" and attack the Dutch East Indies for their oil resources, ultimately leading to the attack on Pearl Harbor and America's entry into World War II.

WWIII
In 2014 the US tried the same wayo by this time using the silly Ukrainian, only that this time China and Russia were ready.
The same script blocking exports of Russian commodities and frozen Russian assets
It did not work.
In despair the US elected Trump to save the US economy.
There is need to quickly undo the wayo and Trump is turning his feet inside his shoes.
Throwing his allies under the bus.
Gone are free economy.
Free move of goods
Free move of capital.

I am watching



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (13662)9/2/2025 3:35:46 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 13770
 
Europeans are being thrown under the bus and have not other way but to fare for themselves.
France, UK and Germany whose affluence was the result of the Bretton Woods agreement, are in trouble.

Collapse imminent of the UK and France.
The EU is on a boat rocked by the US and risk being thrown overboard.
Putin knows that and is in no hurry to save the EU

These Europeans thought they could loot the Russian forex and now know that as a result of the US fight for supremacy will not see a cent of it.

The US knows it must accommodate the Russians and trade with them or suffer.
If the Europeans are on the way of a US - Russia agreement they will be crushed.

Only solution:
  • Remove Zelenski
  • Stop the war.
  • Create a Demilitarized Zone as in South Korea
  • Agree a reconstruction of Ukraine
  • Russia reconstruct the provinces it took
  • US - EU China reconstruct the rest.

What will we have in the future?

  • The world economy has not stopped because of power plays.
  • And it will continue unabated.
  • A weakened EU
  • A strengthened Russia -China Axis
  • The US economy is strong enough to keep its standing



To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (13662)9/11/2025 1:42:19 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 13770
 
Capital Hogging is national policy.