To: Vattila who wrote (68978 ) 11/4/2025 5:59:04 PM From: Vattila Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 72133 AMD 2025-Q3 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) — Results Reported Results : $1.20 $9.25B $9.60B ± 0.30B Rank User EPS Revenue Outlook 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang $1.20 $8.90B $9.50B 2 Vattila $1.20 $8.88B $9.50B - Grok $1.20 $8.85B $9.40B 3 neolib $1.19 $9.10B $9.80B 4 Joe NYC $1.21 $8.90B $9.40B 5 rzborusa $1.22 $8.94B $9.48B - Zacks Estimate $1.17 $8.72B $9.10B 6 Pravin Kamdar $1.25 $9.00B $9.45B - Bing Copilot $1.15 $8.70B $9.20B - Actual $1.20 $9.25B $9.60B
While we both hit bullseye, Kelvin beat me on the revenue tie-breaker. Neolib's optimistic entry secured bronze. However, on overall score, Neolib did best, followed by Kelvin and myself. On the leaderboard, Kelvin overtakes Joe. We now all have Zachs and Bing Copilot beat, although Grok maintains a strong position in the middle of the board. Thanks to all for participating! ---Scoreboards Note that, unlike the main EPS Contest, which is primarily ranked by EPS, these boards are ranked by overall score, which is an equally weighted average of subscores. Scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue. AMD 2025 EPS Contest Scores 2025 Leaderboard Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 3 0.73 0.48 0.57 0.5901 2 Joe NYC 3 0.72 0.52 0.50 0.5796 3 neolib 3 0.72 0.56 0.44 0.5747 - Grok 3 0.74 0.43 0.49 0.5504 4 Vattila 3 0.74 0.45 0.46 0.5503 5 rzborusa 3 0.72 0.42 0.44 0.5274 - Zacks Estimate 3 0.72 0.40 0.45 0.5218 - Bing Copilot 3 0.69 0.39 0.44 0.5071 6 Pravin Kamdar 2 0.47 0.32 0.34 0.3771 2025 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 3 0.97 0.64 0.76 0.7868 2 Joe NYC 3 0.96 0.70 0.66 0.7728 3 neolib 3 0.96 0.74 0.59 0.7663 4 Pravin Kamdar 2 0.94 0.65 0.67 0.7543 - Grok 3 0.98 0.57 0.65 0.7338 5 Vattila 3 0.99 0.60 0.62 0.7338 6 rzborusa 3 0.96 0.56 0.59 0.7032 - Zacks Estimate 3 0.96 0.54 0.59 0.6957 - Bing Copilot 3 0.93 0.52 0.59 0.6762
AMD 2024 EPS Contest Scores 2024 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.85 0.86 0.8830 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.97 0.82 0.86 0.8810 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.88 0.78 0.8798 - Bing Copilot 4 0.95 0.80 0.78 0.8447 3 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.97 0.85 0.72 0.8439 4 rzborusa 4 0.94 0.87 0.68 0.8315 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.97 0.87 0.55 0.7973 6 Vattila 4 0.94 0.86 0.56 0.7890 2024 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.85 0.86 0.8830 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.97 0.82 0.86 0.8810 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.88 0.78 0.8798 - Bing Copilot 4 0.95 0.80 0.78 0.8447 3 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.97 0.85 0.72 0.8439 4 rzborusa 4 0.94 0.87 0.68 0.8315 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.97 0.87 0.55 0.7973 6 Vattila 4 0.94 0.86 0.56 0.7890 7 TGPTNDR 1 0.89 0.77 0.28 0.6455
AMD 2023 EPS Contest Scores 2023 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.97 0.89 0.66 0.8390 1 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.94 0.88 0.56 0.7938 2 Vattila 4 0.98 0.89 0.46 0.7759 3 neolib 4 0.96 0.80 0.56 0.7735 - Bing Chat 4 0.94 0.83 0.47 0.7457 4 Joe NYC 4 0.95 0.80 0.46 0.7375 5 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.81 0.41 0.7220 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.95 0.74 0.37 0.6850
AMD 2022 EPS Contest Scores 2022 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.92 0.83 0.62 0.7895 1 Joe NYC 4 0.82 0.72 0.75 0.7618 2 neolib 4 0.90 0.73 0.65 0.7617 3 Vattila 4 0.87 0.84 0.51 0.7390 4 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.7371 5 rzborusa 4 0.81 0.73 0.56 0.7020 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.84 0.75 0.48 0.6925 7 gvatty 2 0.48 0.38 0.30 0.3848 8 fastpathguru 1 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.1038 2022 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.92 0.83 0.62 0.7895 1 gvatty 2 0.95 0.75 0.60 0.7696 2 Joe NYC 4 0.82 0.72 0.75 0.7618 3 neolib 4 0.90 0.73 0.65 0.7617 4 Vattila 4 0.87 0.84 0.51 0.7390 5 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.7371 6 rzborusa 4 0.81 0.73 0.56 0.7020 7 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.84 0.75 0.48 0.6925 8 fastpathguru 1 0.59 0.42 0.24 0.4153
AMD 2021 EPS Contest Scores 2021 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.93 0.86 0.72 0.8397 2 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.8367 3 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.78 0.70 0.8105 4 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.93 0.75 0.75 0.8101 5 gvatty 4 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.8068 6 Vattila 4 0.92 0.77 0.71 0.7966 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.83 0.65 0.53 0.6694 7 neolib 3 0.71 0.66 0.61 0.6614 8 engineer 1 0.24 0.18 0.21 0.2111 9 fastpathguru 1 0.23 0.18 0.15 0.1852 10 eetnoyer 1 0.20 0.17 0.10 0.1556 2021 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 neolib 3 0.95 0.88 0.82 0.8819 2 engineer 1 0.96 0.73 0.84 0.8445 3 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.93 0.86 0.72 0.8397 4 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.8367 5 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.78 0.70 0.8105 6 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.93 0.75 0.75 0.8101 7 gvatty 4 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.8068 8 Vattila 4 0.92 0.77 0.71 0.7966 9 fastpathguru 1 0.92 0.71 0.59 0.7408 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.83 0.65 0.53 0.6694 10 eetnoyer 1 0.78 0.68 0.40 0.6222
AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores 2020 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 3 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.72 0.62 0.50 0.6128 4 rzborusa 3 0.69 0.57 0.47 0.5812 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.24 0.23 0.17 0.2150 6 jc474 1 0.23 0.19 0.19 0.2020 2020 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.96 0.92 0.69 0.8601 2 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.96 0.83 0.66 0.8171 3 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 4 jc474 1 0.92 0.74 0.76 0.8080 5 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 6 rzborusa 3 0.93 0.76 0.63 0.7749