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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Broken_Clock who wrote (5555)	2/24/1998 11:09:00 PM
From: LastShadow	Respond to of 120523

March Drop is a Myth Historically, for the last 10 years, we have had: 97 - Mid April down 96 - Mid July down 95 - Early July leveled 94 - March down 93 - great all year 92 - slight dip in March 91 - leveling in March 90 - August down 89 - leveling in March 88 - March Down Those 'down' periods mentioned above for March were generally much smaller than the June/July/August tankings - and all of those were preceeded by large upturns in the market for about 2-3 months. With the growth in deposits to Mutual funds over the last 5 years, historical data is somewhat misleading, if not downright worhtless. My net uses only 2 years of data at most, and has extremely strong wighting for the most recent 6 months on 75% of the inputs. And for good reason - the markets are compresing in terms of reaction time and depth of effect. In fact, the last twelve months volume of online trading/news has substantially skewed most tickers history to the point that I am occasionally using only the last three months of data for some indicators. The issue isn't whether its the funds or the economy or the market forces. In the end its basically psychology - and one can get a lead on that by looking at where everyone is putting their money - regardless of what the 'truth' of the reason is. If the money is moving out to safer less volatile places, the market will probably go down. If they are pouring money into stocks, they will go up. I can work with that...even if I never really know why. lastshadow