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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Grommit who wrote (77913)8/19/2025 11:40:36 AM
From: E_K_S1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Grommit

  Respond to of 78476
 
Re: PLYM

I did buy more yesterday but did a deep dive on their debt. It concerned me as it was pretty high compared to others in the sector. I decided to not add in size because of that.

COLD has a similar value Price/FFO but it too has high debt similar to PLYM. Both covered their div and was just at the higher end of their peers. Nothing like NXRT.

As you pointed out NXRT is extremely leveraged but that is part of their business. Buy multi-unit apartments, fix them up and sell them once they get them rented. So, they are vurnerable to a debt/leverage blow up and I will not be adding to my small position. They do keep the other units where rents are rising and they have a potential to increase. For them, it's a real estate play rather than an income generator. At least that was my conclusion.

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I am noticing LXP +5.3% another REIT I have been building a position in.

LXP Industrial Trust (NYSE: LXP) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership, operation, and management of industrial properties across the United States.

Here's a breakdown of their business:

Are they an industrial REIT? Yes, LXP Industrial Trust is a pure-play industrial REIT. They focus on acquiring, developing, and operating Class A warehouse and distribution facilities in key U.S. logistics markets, particularly in the Sunbelt and lower Midwest regions. Their portfolio primarily consists of properties used for warehousing, distribution, and light manufacturing.

What is the Price/FFO now and looking forward? Based on their Q2 2025 earnings report and recent analyst estimates:

  • Current FFO (Q2 2025): LXP generated Adjusted Company FFO of $0.16 per diluted share for the quarter ended June 30, 2025.

  • Forward FFO (2025 Guidance): LXP tightened its estimated Adjusted Company FFO for the full year ending December 31, 2025, to be within an expected range of $0.62 to $0.64 per diluted common share.

  • Forward FFO (2026 and 2027 Estimates): Analysts estimate FFO of $0.68 for 2026 and $0.77 for 2027.

As of August 15, 2025, LXP's stock price was $8.23.

Using the current stock price and the forward FFO estimates:

  • Price/FFO (2025 FWD, using midpoint of guidance): $8.23 / $0.63 = 13.06x

  • Price/FFO (2026 FWD): $8.23 / $0.68 = 12.10x

  • Price/FFO (2027 FWD): $8.23 / $0.77 = 10.69x

Note: Price/FFO is a common valuation metric for REITs, similar to a P/E ratio for other companies.

Do they have triple net leases? Yes, a majority of LXP's properties are subject to net or similar leases, where the tenant bears all or substantially all of the costs, including increases, for real estate taxes, utilities, insurance, and ordinary repairs. This structure is characteristic of triple net leases, which typically provide more stable and predictable cash flows for the landlord.

How is their debt profile and compare it to others in the sector? As of June 30, 2025, LXP's debt profile shows:

  • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA: 5.8x at quarter end, which is down 0.4 turns over the last 12 months. Reducing leverage remains a key focus for the company.

  • Fixed-rate debt: LXP has increased its hedged and fixed-rate debt to 99% of debt outstanding in 2025 and 2026, with a weighted average interest rate of 3.9%. This high percentage of fixed-rate debt is a positive, as it minimizes exposure to rising interest rates.

  • Cash on balance sheet: Approximately $71 million at quarter end.

  • Total Debt: TTM (Trailing Twelve Months) Total Debt as of June 30, 2025 was approximately $1.406 billion.

Comparison to others in the sector: While a direct, real-time comparison to all industrial REITs' debt profiles is complex without specific current data for each, here are some general considerations for industrial REITs:

  • Leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA): A leverage ratio of around 5-6x is generally considered moderate for industrial REITs. LXP's 5.8x is within a reasonable range for the sector. Many industrial REITs have been focused on deleveraging or maintaining conservative balance sheets in recent years to withstand economic uncertainties.

  • Fixed vs. Floating Rate Debt: A high percentage of fixed-rate debt (like LXP's 99% for 2025/2026) is a strong positive, especially in a rising interest rate environment. This is a common strategy among well-managed REITs to mitigate interest rate risk.

  • Weighted Average Interest Rate: LXP's 3.9% weighted average interest rate is competitive, reflecting favorable borrowing terms or effective hedging strategies.

  • Debt Maturities: While specific maturity schedules for LXP were not detailed in the provided snippets, a well-managed REIT will have a staggered maturity schedule to avoid large lump-sum repayments in any single year, which provides financial flexibility.

In summary, LXP Industrial Trust appears to have a well-managed debt profile, characterized by a focus on reducing leverage, a high proportion of fixed-rate debt, and a competitive weighted average interest rate, which are generally favorable characteristics when compared to peers in the industrial REIT sector.




To: Grommit who wrote (77913)8/19/2025 7:35:06 PM
From: E_K_S  Respond to of 78476
 
RE: Americold Realty Trust (COLD)

Could COLD be a take Private Deal? It's selling 40% BELOW it's 2019-2022 avg price of $38/share. Burkle only need 34.5% of the outstanding shares.

Soho House Holdings, Ltd. (NYSE: SHCO) another one of Burkle's companies announced yesterday they will take private this company
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I did a deep dive on COLD and found some interesting info:

COLD's Ownership: Ronald W. Burkle (through Yucaipa Companies) already holds a massive ~65.48% controlling stake.

Info on Yucaipa Companies

Ronald W. Burkle's Yucaipa Companies is a private equity firm with a history spanning decades, known for its strategic investments, particularly in the retail, food & grocery, logistics, distribution, and hospitality sectors. Unlike public companies, private equity firms do not publicly disclose their entire portfolio with specific valuations. However, we can build a picture based on their historical activities and public statements.

The Yucaipa Companies' Investment Philosophy:

Founded in 1986, Yucaipa's strategy involves:

  • Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs): Acquiring companies using a significant amount of borrowed money, with the expectation of improving their performance and selling them for a profit.

  • Industry Consolidation: Buying up multiple smaller players in a fragmented industry to create a larger, more efficient entity. This was particularly evident in their supermarket acquisitions.

  • Growth Capital: Providing funding for companies with strong growth potential.

  • Turnaround Investments: Investing in distressed companies with the aim of restoring them to profitability.

  • Operational Improvements: Actively working with management teams to strategically reposition businesses and enhance operations.

Key Sectors and Notable (Past & Present) Investments:

1. Food & Grocery: This is arguably Yucaipa's most prominent area of investment. * Supermarket Chains: They were instrumental in consolidating the West Coast grocery market in the 1990s. * Ralphs Grocery Co.: Acquired for $1.5 billion in 1994, with Alpha Beta and Boys Markets later rebranded as Ralphs. * Food 4 Less: Acquired in 1987. * Dominick's: Acquired in 1995 for $750 million, later sold to Safeway for $1.85 billion in 1998. * Fred Meyer: Ralphs/Food 4 Less merged with Fred Meyer in 1997, which was then sold to Kroger for $13.5 billion in 1998. * Pathmark Stores / A&P (The Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company): Yucaipa acquired significant stakes and was involved in restructurings, including A&P's acquisition of Pathmark. (Both A&P and Pathmark have since gone through bankruptcies and liquidations). * Fresh & Easy: Acquired the struggling U.S. chain from Tesco in 2014. * Cold Storage / Logistics (Americold Realty Trust - COLD): This is a direct extension of their food and grocery interests, providing the critical infrastructure for temperature-controlled supply chains. Ronald Burkle's significant, long-standing stake in COLD (currently ~65.48%) underscores its strategic importance to his overall investment thesis.

2. Logistics & Distribution: * TDS Logistics: Acquired in 2004, a provider of logistics services to the automotive industry. This showcased Yucaipa's comfort with broader logistics beyond just grocery. * ProduceOnline.com: An early investment in a B2B e-commerce platform for the produce industry, highlighting their interest in optimizing supply chains through technology.

3. Retail & Consumer: * Barnes & Noble (BKS): Yucaipa had a significant stake and was involved in proxy battles, aiming to influence the company's direction, particularly during the "e-reader wars" with Amazon. (Their stake was later divested to Yucaipa investors). * Barneys New York: Acquired a stake in the luxury retailer in 2012.

4. Hospitality & Entertainment: * Soho House Holdings, Ltd. (SHCO): Ronald Burkle serves as Chairman of the Board. This is a public company operating members-only clubs and restaurants worldwide. (His direct ownership in SHCO appears to be around 200,000 shares valued at ~$1.76 million, but Yucaipa's broader involvement would be through its funds). * The Ned: A luxury hotel in London, also associated with Soho House. * Morgans Hotel Group (MHGC): Yucaipa had director and significant owner roles. (Information on current value/ownership is dated, suggesting past divestment). * Music & Live Events: Investments in European film/TV agencies (Independent Talent Group), music agencies (Artist Group International, Paradigm Agency UK, X-Ray Touring), and music festival operators (Danny Wimmer Presents, Primavera Sound). * Sports: Ronald Burkle is co-owner of the NHL's Pittsburgh Penguins with Mario Lemieux. Yucaipa has also invested in sports agencies like Independent Sports & Entertainment. * APA: A major investment in this American talent agency was made in 2020.

5. Technology & Venture Capital: * A-Grade Investments: A venture capital firm co-founded by Burkle with Ashton Kutcher and Guy Oseary, investing in tech startups like Airbnb, Uber, Spotify, and Warby Parker.

Estimated Value of Assets/Properties Owned:

It is extremely difficult, if not impossible, to provide a precise, current, and comprehensive estimated value of all assets owned by Yucaipa Companies. Here's why:

  • Private Nature: As a private equity firm, Yucaipa is not obligated to disclose its portfolio holdings or their valuations publicly.

  • Dynamic Portfolio: Investments are constantly being made, divested, and restructured. What they owned five years ago may be completely different today.

  • "Completed Mergers & Acquisitions Valued at more than $40 Billion": This is a historical aggregate of transactions. It does not represent their current AUM or the value of their current portfolio. A firm's AUM is typically much lower than the historical value of deals it has completed, as companies are bought and sold.

  • SEC Filings (Limited Insight): While Ronald Burkle's individual public company holdings (like his current ~65% in COLD, or past stakes in Barnes & Noble, Soho House) are disclosed via SEC filings (Form 4, 13D/G), these only represent his direct beneficial ownership in public companies and do not encompass the vast private portfolio of Yucaipa's funds.

Based on an SEC filing from late 2018, Yucaipa Master Manager, LLC (a Yucaipa affiliate) reported approximately $2.67 billion of assets under management as of March 2018. This gives a dated snapshot of their managed funds, but their overall "control" and influence, especially with the COLD stake, would be higher.

Given their history of multi-billion dollar deals and current controlling stake in a $4.2 billion public company (COLD), it's safe to say their total Assets Under Management (AUM) and assets owned/controlled are in the multiple billions of dollars, likely in the high single-digit billions at a minimum, possibly approaching or exceeding $10 billion, though this is an informed estimate rather than a precise figure.

In summary, Yucaipa's portfolio reflects Ronald Burkle's long-standing strategic focus on the consumer, retail, and supply chain sectors, with cold storage (COLD) being a perfect fit for their expertise and long-term investment horizon.

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Recent Developments w/ one of their companies Soho House Holdings, Ltd. (NYSE: SHCO)

Yesterday 8/18/2025

Soho House Holdings, Ltd. (NYSE: SHCO) has announced a definitive agreement to be taken private in a transaction valued at approximately $2.7 billion. The deal is led by MCR Hotels, the third-largest hotel owner-operator in the U.S., and involves a consortium of strategic investors, including Apollo Global Management and Goldman Sachs Alternatives. Actor and tech investor Ashton Kutcher will also join the board following the transaction’s completion.

Key details:

  • Shareholders will receive $9.00 per share in cash, which represents a premium to recent share prices.

  • Major existing shareholders such as Ron Burkle (and Yucaipa Companies), Nick Jones (founder), Richard Caring, and Goldman Sachs will roll over the majority of their stakes, retaining controlling interest in the company.

  • MCR and CEO Tyler Morse will acquire the publicly traded shares not already held by these controlling investors, with Morse stepping in as vice chairman of the board.

  • Apollo is backing the transaction with a combination of debt and equity, and the transaction is also supported with new capital from Goldman Sachs Alternatives.

  • The deal requires regulatory clearance and shareholder approval, with closing expected by the end of 2025, at which point Soho House will be delisted from the New York Stock Exchange.

There had been previous buyout offers and activist pressure for a sale, notably from Daniel Loeb’s Third Point hedge fund. The premium offered is substantial compared to the pre-announcement stock price, but below Soho House’s IPO valuation.

In summary, Soho House Holdings is set to go private by the end of 2025 through a $2.7 billion buyout led by MCR Hotels and backed by prominent institutional and private investors.

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