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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (8825)	2/25/1998 7:17:00 AM
From: Charles A. King	Respond to of 13091

Ron, your article demonstrates what concerns me about our policy in the Middle East as well as the policies of Turkey and Israel. On top of our own internal political problems I'm afraid that we have fundamental weaknesses in the abilities of our career professionals in the CIA and State Department which have been evident since the Iraqis tried to invade Iran. That's why I was griping earlier about Turkey invading Iraq to fight the Kurds instead of engaging the Iraqi military in a campaign coordinated by the CIA and State Department. Turkey has struck up a relationship with Israel and outlawed a fundamentalist Islamic political party. This Islamic political faction within Turkey repeatedly forms political parties to work within the secular legal system that supposedly tries to be democratic. Each time, Turkey outlaws the fundamentalist party and it forms a new one. The previous party, Welfare, has been outlawed and the new Islamic party is called Virtue. infoseek.com:80/Content?arn=a2089LBY592reulb-19980224&qt=turkey&col=NX&kt=A&ak=news1486 This political cycle winds up with Islamic leaders imprisoned. infoseek.com:80/Content?arn=a1076LBY436reulb-19980223&qt=turkey&col=NX&kt=A&ak=news1486 The Islamic faction seems to get its base from the poorest people. Turkey is running the risk of an unending bloodbath as in Algeria. Egypt also has a violent Islamic sector which seems to focus on murdering tourists. Sudan also has an Islamic government carrying on a prolonged civil war with Christians and animists in their south. It just seems to me that Saddam Hussein has been able to use the weaknesses of our side to his advantage. The countries of the region must contend with the threat of mass murder from Iraq as well as fundamentalist hate within their own borders. All our smart bombs and weaponry are no match for that. We should have learned that in Vietnam. The big difference between the order of battle of the Gulf War and our military capabilities in the region today is that in 1991, we had a huge contingent of ground pounders available to dominate the landscape. The neighbors of Iraq don't see that today and that has a big effect on their policies. They don't want anthrax to rain down upon their cities. The Turks recently suggested talks between them and their ancient enemy, the Greeks, to settle long standing issues. The Greeks declined, recognizing the basic weakness of the Turkish situation. The Turks also don't want the Kurds to have their own homeland any more than the Israelis want the Palestinians to have theirs. All this is unfortunate for us and maybe there isn't anything we can do to leverage a situation that makes sense. But a key statement in the article was No one really even knows what the U.S. wants or what they might want the U.S. to do. If I was in charge, I would certainly make a grandstand attempt to realign the political landscape to our advantage instead of Hussein's. Charles