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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Senior who wrote (78044)12/15/2025 11:20:52 AM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 79047
 
Re: Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) 80.67 +1.13 (+1.42%)

Are you adding to this name? This came up on my FCF metric screen and recent -26% sell off on forward guidance.

Their FCF growth is excellent and every new store the add (37 stores to be opoened in 2025) are profitable.

  • FCF Growth: The average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate has been strong, with a 3-year average of 21.9% per year.

  • New Stores as Growth Driver: Management is committed to achieving 10% annual unit growth (new store openings) by 2027. They planned to open 37 new stores in 2025.

    • The new stores use a smaller, more efficient format which is designed to de-risk growth and deliver stronger returns on invested capital (ROIC). The new stores are contributing to the overall net sales growth.

  • Profitability: The business model exhibits high profitability metrics, including a trailing twelve-month (TTM) Gross Profit Margin of around 38.9% and a high Return on Equity (ROE) of over 38%. The combination of FCF generation, high-ROIC new stores, and an aggressive share repurchase program suggests a strategy for compounding EPS growth.

  • Strategic ShiftSFM has pivoted away from its legacy 30,000 to 32,000 sq. ft. format to a more efficient 20,000 to 25,000 sq. ft. prototype.
    • Cost Efficiency: The smaller stores are 20% less expensive to build (partially due to reduced costs for deli and protein fixtures) and 20% less expensive to operate (due to lower rent and labor costs, including the addition of self-checkout).


    At 15.2x Forward PE; PEG 0.92x (below 1x !); very little Debt; Price/Cash Flow 12.2x (6.57% FCF yield)

    On my watch list as I missed this when you first mentioned it