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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Elroy who wrote (195926)	10/7/2025 11:56:08 AM
From: Art Bechhoefer	2 Recommendations Recommended By engineer Wildbiftek Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 196664

The long term success of a firm depends mostly on quality of management. This is one of several internal variables that can help an investor choose a good investment. However, there are several external (exogenous) variables that the company has no control over, like tariffs, war, and natural disasters that can dramatically change the prospects for a stock. If you think you can make more money by just holding one stock, well good luck. But you aren't factoring in those important and often decisive external factors. Art

To: Elroy who wrote (195926)	10/7/2025 5:08:44 PM
From: Wildbiftek	Respond to of 196664

You'd get only so many shots on goal before you either went broke (ran out of money) or died (ran out of tries) if you picked one. It might seem tempting to go after a lottery jackpot with a positive expectation, but if you did the iterative calculation for a fixed amount of time or money, you'd find you'd almost certainly go broke before hitting a jackpot. (See "Kelly Criterion" for an optimal strategy here which may posit that the amount you should bet is smaller than 1 lottery ticket or share...)