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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (96031)10/20/2025 4:54:41 PM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation

Recommended By
ajtj99

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 96636
 
If you are diversified and not using leverage, that's a great gain for a portfolio.
When I was focused and leveraged, doing 10% - 20% days was not unusual.

But 4% days were rare for me once I started to keep 200 positions or so. Recently they are still infrequent, but not as rare as before. So either I'm getting better, or the market is getting frothier (prolly the latter).

Excluding cash, I'm up 96% since April 8, vs 49% for NDX. With cash I'm up 80% (I averaged about 20% cash). Typically on a down day I'm down 1.2x - 1.5x the market, but on an up date I'm up ~1.8x - 2.3x the market.

After the close I started looking for leveraged ETFs that outperform my stocks. I couldn't find any, unless its 3x gold or gold miners. But the parabolic shape of those since mid August keeps me away. My stocks are actually less volatile than 3x gold.

I need to train an AI trader. I've done a lot of the design work. But I'm still far away and I'm not sure if I want to commit to it now (I know that I want to make it, but not sure if I should prioritize it now).

I should have bought a lot more BYND than I did and I should have doubled on ANRO at the open. The latter was very clear to me even without the algo. I have no excuse for that.

I can't size positions as well as I want to without delving into the AI development, even if I end up not using the AI. The process of developing is what is important, not necessarily the end resulting algo.

But my personality is such that if I take on this challenge, I will dive in and not come up for air for months. I'm not sure if I should do that now.