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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (1568241)	10/27/2025 3:54:20 PM
From: combjelly	Respond to of 1570077

Unfortunately this could take longer than expected. There is never a sure way to predict a tipping point. Often there is no real way to ascertain them in the aftermath. When you read the history of these things, often the historians seize onto an event or action that just doesn't seem all that different from others that preceded it. Russia is a pressure cooker with the release valve wired shut. Ukraine is turning up the heat right now. No idea when it will pop, but the longer it goes on, the bloodier it will be. Russia has had their petro industry crippled at the time when their fall harvest should be underway. Which not only has to be harvested, it needs to be prepped for storage. Wheat, for example, needs to lose a lot of water before storage. Maybe half its initial weight. With rice, they use, or at least used to in East Texas, natural gas for the job. I grew up maybe half a mile from one. I have no idea how Russia processes their wheat, but it requires energy. And energy is fungible to a limited extent. So a shortage in one part winds up affecting other parts. We saw this in the US during the Arab Oil Embargo during the 1970s. Given Russia's reliance on heating districts, with central generation of hot water that gets distributed to the various buildings and homes, if they get shutdown in the winter, the pipes could freeze, burst and be out for an extended time. What is clear is Russia is going to face a cold, dark and hungry winter. Will spring bust out in a spectacular way? No way to know in advance. The stories of domestic sabotage in Russia is a sign of growing unrest. How much of it has actually because of disaffected Russians is unknown. So it might just be noise. Russia is very brittle, both politically and economically. Brittle things tend to be strong up until the moment when they aren't. Just ask the occupants of the Titan. Failing gracefully is usually not in the cards.