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Strategies & Market Trends : Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: h_ who wrote (41075)11/19/2025 11:19:03 PM
From: FJV  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41190
 
For what it's worth, Perplexity AI has this to say about Harley's 242 month cycle prognostication over the next 6 months:

Stan Harley's 242-month cycle predicts significant market weakness over the next 6 months from November 2025. According to his analysis, the market typically shows negative expected returns in this period, with seasonal and cyclical indicators pointing to a higher probability of market corrections or downturns rather than strength. His cycle timing suggests that this time frame will be characterized by challenging conditions for stocks, consistent with the historical pattern of this long-term cycle approaching a critical low point or correction phase. This insight supports cautious positioning or defensive investment strategies through mid-2026, given the historical tendency for the 242-month cycle period to signal market stress or declines.??

In summary, the next 6 months are likely to see either increased volatility or a decline in stock prices aligned with the 242-month cycle's expected downturn phase.



To: h_ who wrote (41075)11/20/2025 2:20:37 AM
From: Tweets Boar Hog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41190
 
Tomorrow is looking good, for a nice pulse up.

We are in the middle of the meat of this whole move that started with the ~ 2009 bottom. Long ways to go.

Next correction of major significance on my current cycle map starts early 2027. Between now and then only minor ones. That will mark the end of a iii of (iii) of 3, bring out the bears. Then another move will follow and probably last into late 2029. That would mark the end of the (iii) of 3 so a more major correction. But note there will still be a (vth) of 3.

A lot of people think the amplitude of the 3rd wave is the largest, more often than not. I do not disagree, but the 5th waves in a blow off can be huge. Time wise it seems the 3rd waves are often long.

The current wave has very similar structure to the (i) of 3, so far. One can use that for some timing estimates, and it mostly works out for the next top as shown. The length of this wave bottom to top 'should' be as long as the last one, which was a bit over 2 yrs.

Targets ..... way up there. I know it seems unreal, but it is what it is.

I've used this correction to add to some existing positions, plus start or restart a few new ones.

Structure wise a lot of similarity to the move from ~ 2011 to ~ 2016, but stretched out in time.

Astro between now and then ..... confusing as always.

Tweets

Follow them cycles.