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To: robert b furman who wrote (206130)11/21/2025 1:43:13 PM
From: DinoNavarre  Respond to of 206195
 



To: robert b furman who wrote (206130)11/26/2025 9:44:10 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206195
 
Howdy Bob! Remember that low investment will come to bite.

The coming squeeze

For energy-importing nations, current low prices offer false comfort. The structural investment deficit, combined with Russia’s eroding production capacity, creates vulnerabilities that could manifest in supply disruptions and price spikes when post-recession growth recovers after 2027.

The contradiction in today’s market: traders worry about 2026 oversupply, while supply capacity growth will contract after 2029.

Major national oil companies illustrate the scale of capital required: Saudi Aramco increased its upstream spending by 19% to $39 billion in 2024, while Abu Dhabi’s ADNOC plans to spend $150 billion between 2024 and 2027 to achieve a crude supply capacity target of 5 million barrels per day by 2027, according to IEA data.

The timing of capacity constraints—supply growth peaking around 2027 before contracting after 2029—gives the industry a narrow window to address investment deficits before structural shortages emerge.

The oil market’s hidden crisis isn’t about today’s balance sheets—it’s about the supply capacity that won’t exist in 2029 because of investment decisions not made in 2024. Russia’s sanctions-induced collapse is bringing that reckoning closer.
euromaidanpress.com

Those years of ESG, climate for this climate for that, will bite.



To: robert b furman who wrote (206130)12/6/2025 1:35:45 AM
From: elmatador1 Recommendation

Recommended By
sixty2nds

  Respond to of 206195
 
There is a whole 5th Fleet protecting oil flow stationed in Bahrain. With Western Hemisphere oil security, (US shale, Canada, Brazil and Guyana and Argentina coming up, the US can take the 5th Fleet from the Middle East and let them sort themselves out.
Venezuela is about to be cleaned up and can also return to the market.

Trump national security strategy calls for ā€˜cultivating resistance’ in Europe and changing US’ role in Western Hemisphere

The White House quietly released President Donald Trump’s new national security strategy late Thursday, a 33-page document that elevates his ā€œAmerica Firstā€ doctrine and sets out the administration’s realignment of US foreign policy, from shifting military resources in the Western Hemisphere to taking an unprecedentedly confrontational posture toward Europe

edition.cnn.com