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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bull RidaH who wrote (14410)2/26/1998 9:52:00 AM
From: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9  Respond to of 94695
 
david.....

pretty harsh!!!!

but I have puts...so I will be watching very carefully....

keep us tuned in please.....

I agree with you about going down this week..BUT you are pretty drastic for these two days... I HOPE YOU ARE RIGHT!!!!!!

you and bearshark turned me onto the 5 day trin...BUT...what are your parameters....Bear was telling me under 4 neg and over 6 positive????

Ps I am putting your post on a couple of threads....



To: Bull RidaH who wrote (14410)2/26/1998 10:15:00 AM
From: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
If the 5 day Trin gives its typical buy signal for the next leg of this bull run, which
is a reading of 6 or better, then we definitely have a radical short-term selloff ahead.


okay...just read your stuff again....you use over 6 for a buy signal as well....BUT

when the trin is over 6 it is time to buy.....and under 4 time to sell...
BUT doesnt it give a bit of a false signal IF IF IF you say...well once it goes over 6 it isnt time to buy yet...we wait for a sell off which changed the trin anyway????

unless you are saying we need a radical sell off TO GET TO 6..



To: Bull RidaH who wrote (14410)2/26/1998 11:47:00 AM
From: Barbara Barry  Respond to of 94695
 
David,
I appreciate your posts and have a question.I have not seen the trin indicate a sharp sell of yet,as you seem to think.How did you come up with 6 today???And I would doubt anyone would pre announce this week.Even next week would be a bit early.BWDIK
TIA
Regards,
Barbara



To: Bull RidaH who wrote (14410)2/26/1998 10:28:00 PM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
David:

Although I do not use Elliot, much of what I do use is confirming the action you have been noting during the past week. In note 14328, I posted some volume analysis of advances and declines on the NYSE. The analysis shows that the broad market was weakening coming into this week. I also expected a useful correction so that I could set some new positions. However, the rally resumed yesterday--one or two days earlier than I expected. Yesterday's strength in advancing issues was not that impressive. However, today's was much better. This should be indicative of a further rally.

Since 7700, when the rally began before the ARM's 5-day index was ready, I have considered this market to have reentered the primary bull market trend that we were in for the past several years. You noted the DJT as a concern. It also concerns me. I believe tomorrow will be an important test. It should not drop any more than about 20 to 40 points before rebounding. If it continues to drop more than that I would be very concerned.

I am happy to see that you have not given up on the ARM's 5-day index. It has changed its language but it is still a very good indicator. By staying near or under 4 for so long, it is now showing how strong this rally really is. I also keep the ARM's 5-day for the 30 DJI stocks and it is even stronger for them.