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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (218313)12/10/2025 8:34:00 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 218801
 
Additional discourse following <<Daily workflow 2025 12 11 Good morning Manus co-pilot, please>>

Q: re this piece of journalism by Bloomberg bloomberg.com <<Why Your Nintendo Switch 2, Xbox Is Now ‘Made in Vietnam’ Not China>>, a few questions (1) where (nations) do the parts / components of the Switch 2 / Xbox come from if you know ? (2) where (nations) are the actual owners of the production facilities and economic benefits domiciled and how changed before / after relocation of the actual assemblies ? (3) Do all the to & fro not simply free up precious labour in China for better use, like building hypersonic projectiles this and AI-enabled jet fighters that ? Just-asking

Q: (1) analyze the impact of this labor reallocation on China's overall economic growth and it's "Made in China 2025" goals, especially comparing the value-add of the relocated assembly jobs versus the new high-tech sectors, (2) Given the conclusion that the US tariffs are "subsidizing China's transition to high-tech superpower," what are the immediate investment implications for the US tech sector and for the companies like Nvidia and AMD? (3) even for Nintendo and Xbox, are their respective supply chains actually more 'secure' and 'de-risked' or truthfully more vulnerable, particularly given what is now-now happening in the East China and South China Seas and the Taiwan Strait in between? (4) text, voice, slides, please

Q: What do the stock price charts for Hosiden Corp, Goertek, and Pegatron look like in gold terms for the period 2023-01-02 to now 2025-12-11 ?

and of the three companies, only the China company has easy access to new opportunities thrown up by the supply chain chaos tabled

The PDF uploaded to Manus - bloomberg.com

Why Your Nintendo Switch 2, Xbox Is Now ‘Made in Vietnam’ Not China

I have 86% of the video game market!

Millions of holiday shoppers across America are filling their baskets with pricey video game consoles, likely unaware of a seismic supply-chain shift that’s done away with the familiar “Made in China” label. Instead, for most consoles sold this year — from Sony Group Corp.’s PlayStation, to Xboxes from Microsoft Corp., and this season’s hot-ticket item, Nintendo Co.’s Switch 2 — the packaging now likely reads “Made in Vietnam.”

Few industries have seen a more dramatic and rapid realignment since President Donald Trump shocked markets with sweeping tariff announcements earlier this year. China’s once-dominant share of US video game console imports fell from 86% in 2024 to less than 5% since May, after Trump levied particularly punishing tariffs on the country, according to a Bloomberg News analysis of trade data.

The story of how Vietnam seamlessly stepped in to meet US demand reveals the surprising resilience of a global electronics supply chain that’s behind the more than $20 billion annual console trade. It had already started taking new shape following Trump’s first-term tariff broadside against China, with new factories sprouting across Southeast Asia since then.

As Tariffs Hit China, Vietnam Stepped in to Meet US DemandValue of US video game console imports and tariffs in 2025

China

China’s highest average tariff rate of 88% triggered $18 million in estimated payments

2024 monthly average from China

Sources: US Census Bureau, US Bureau of Economic Analysis

Note: Estimated tariffs may not include calculated duty on goods subject to various or special rates.

While electronics like smartphones were exempted from Trump’s 2025 levies, gaming equipment was not so lucky. In May, importers of Chinese-made video game consoles were hit with an average tariff rate of 88%, which later dropped to about 30%. Meanwhile, tariff rates on Vietnamese imports hovered around 10% or less. In all, the US government estimates that it earned at least $325 million in tariffs on consoles and similar goods between February and August.

As a result, Vietnamese exports of consoles to the US, which had averaged less than $30 million a month in 2024, surged to more than $400 million a month after May.

The White House didn’t respond to Bloomberg’s questions about how tariffs impacted video game console production.

White House spokesman Kush Desai said the administration’s tariff agenda is meant to “to both reshore manufacturing that’s critical to our national and economic security and level the playing field for American workers and industries.”

Vietnam’s Factories Are ReadyThree companies are responsible for nearly all of this new export activity: Japan-listed Hosiden Corp. makes Switch and Switch 2 for Nintendo; China-listed Goertek Inc. churns out PlayStation5s; and Taiwan-listed Pegatron Corp. assembles the PS5 and Xbox. Collectively, they’ve shipped more than $2 billion to the US from Vietnam between September 2024 and August 2025, according to figures provided by Big Trade Data.

These three companies have had a manufacturing presence in Vietnam for years, making primarily other products, but few video game consoles. From this footprint, producers retooled some assembly lines and, since early 2024, built or expanded factories in the country on their way to producing millions of video game consoles outside China.

Three Companies Are Driving $2B in Exports to US
Monthly value of exports by company and brand

PlayStation, Meta Quest

Source: Vietnam customs data

Hosiden began construction last year of a new 258,000-square-foot building at its complex in the Vietnamese province of Bac Ninh. Hosiden declined to comment.

Nearby, Goertek kicked off production earlier this year at an enormous 127-acre multi-facility site. A local press report itemized production targets, including “2 million gaming consoles [and] 5 million game controllers.” Selling from its Vietnamese plants allows its Chinese parent company to continue accessing the US market while side-stepping the higher tariffs imposed on China. Goertek declined to comment due to client confidentiality.

Pegatron is in the process of quadrupling its workforce in the port city of Hai Phong and increasing its total output across all product lines in its facilities, which includes PlayStations. As part of this expansion, the company is leasing about 312,000 square feet – the equivalent of six US football fields – in a warehousing complex near some of its existing factories. Pegatron declined to comment.

Rapid Expansion Fueled Manufacturing CapacitySelect buildouts of factories or warehouses, by company

Chinese electronics company Goertek has significantly expanded its manufacturing footprint in the northern province of Bac Ninh since 2023

Nearby, Japanese manufacturer Hosiden has added more than 250K square feet to its footprint

Taiwanese company Pegatron has expanded in the major port city of Hai Phong with an additional 312K square feet of warehouse space

Sources: Google Earth, company presentations and announcements, local news reports

Other regions in Asia, including Japan and Taiwan, have also seen their exports of video game consoles to the US ramp up in recent months, though their shipping volumes pale in comparison to Vietnam’s.

Video Game Production Dwarfs Gains in Exports Across Region
Change in US imports by country between Feb.?–Aug. 2024 to Feb.?–Aug. 2025 for all imports and video game consoles

Japan's shipments of consoles tripled, even as overall exports declined by 1%

Sources: US Census Bureau, US Bureau of Economic Analysis

Taiwan, in particular, remains the linchpin for the most important and expensive components in video game consoles: the chips. Each of the three major console makers relies on chips from either Nvidia Corp. or Advanced Micro Devices Inc., who in turn outsource much of their manufacturing to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Samsung Electronics Co. This part of the video game supply chain has remained more stable, unlike other components and assembly stages.

Taiwan-based Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., better known as Foxconn, is also a major global supplier of video game consoles and parts, with a big network of Vietnamese factories at its disposal. Yet Foxconn doesn’t show up in the customs data that Bloomberg analyzed, likely because most of its video game manufacturing is still based in China or final assembly in Vietnam is being handled by other suppliers.

Prices Are Going UpMost holiday shoppers might not even realize that anything has changed, with store shelves full of the latest consoles, especially the Switch 2, which launched in June and is targeting global sales of 25 million units by March 2026. In the US, it’s by far the best-selling video game hardware this year, with PlayStation 5 ranking second.

Tariffs Didn’t Slow Down Nintendo’s Switch Supply ChainQuarterly average consoles sold in the Americas

The Switch 2 launched in June and is expected to dominate holiday sales

Source: Nintendo

Note: Refers to fiscal years starting April 1. Average in 2025 includes only first two quarters and is likely an undercount because shipments tend to be highest in the second half of the year.

What consumers may notice is the price tag.

While Nintendo has maintained the Switch 2’s $450 launch price, console makers have hiked the cost of some of their older models since tariffs, which has helped boost revenue. Nintendo didn’t respond to requests for comment, Microsoft declined to comment, and Sony didn’t provide a response to Bloomberg’s questions.

Price Increases for Video Game ConsolesSources: Nintendo, PlayStation, Microsoft

Before Trump announced levies in the spring, a January report from the Consumer Technology Association predicted tariffs would push video game console prices up by at least 40% and sales would drop by 57%.

A Lasting SwitchMost of the decisions to build out Vietnamese manufacturing capacity were taken well before Trump was re-elected, at a time when some of the world’s largest electronic companies, like Apple Inc., were already raising concerns about their dependence on Chinese manufacturing.

“The game console production shift to Vietnam is a natural progression as precision requirements are less demanding than smartphones,” said Ivan Lam, a senior analyst at Counterpoint Research. “With Vietnamese factories having sufficient production capacity to absorb demand, we’re seeing players like Foxconn and Goertek jumping into the fray.”

As for China, it has managed to maintain and even grow its overall trade volumes by diverting mountains of console exports from the US to other markets. An additional $129 million per month went to other parts of Asia between February and August. Japan, which is home to limited console production, saw the single largest surge in imports from China, even as it increased its own exports to the US.

Where China’s $7.3B in Console Exports Went After US Tariffs
Year over year increase and decrease in Chinese exports from Feb.?–Aug. 2024 to Feb.?–Aug. 2025, in millions of US dollars

Sources: UN Comtrade, Trade Data Monitor

Note: Countries where data is comparable for both periods are shown.

An extra $180 million per month, on average, has been ending up in Europe, particularly in the Netherlands, a major shipping hub, as well as Spain, Poland and the United Kingdom.

Even if tariffs eventually come down, all these new assembly lines and trading relationships may prove difficult to unwind.

“Game makers learned it’s possible to mass produce their products even without relying on China, which was good,” said Hideki Yasuda, a senior analyst at Toyo Securities, though transitioning to Vietnam can include costs, such as slower government approvals and less reliable infrastructure. “I don’t think game makers will revert their production back to China in the future because relocating back to China would also cost a lot by now.”



To: TobagoJack who wrote (218313)12/10/2025 11:06:31 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218801
 
Consolidated workflow 2025-12-11 (questions renumbered for clarity)

Daily workflow 2025 12 11 Good morning Manus co-pilot, please

(1) referencing "J's Analytical Framework: Asimovian Timeline 2026-2042" that we worked out a/k/a "Read /home/ubuntu/J_Analytical_Framework_Asimovian_Timeline.md"

(2) review relevant news of the past 24 hours resulting from your searches on-line
(2-a) latest on US - China wars w/r to trade, tariff, technology, whatever
(2-b) Russia - Ukraine / Nato hot war,
(2-c) Middle East conflict(s), and w/r to the hereunder VLOGs and articles appended / attached by me,

(3) fact-check,

(4) supplement with other local languages material searched on-line when advisable,

(5) critique,

(6) recalibrate our Asimovian Universe Empire / Foundation 2026 TeoTwawKi / 2032 Darkest Interregnum / 2042 Demographic-flip thematic narrative waypoints,

(7) deliberate pro / con as appropriate so I am less likely to be blindsided, and you do not go hallucinatory / sycophantic

(8) update me on important latest pricing matter to us - i.e. share indices of USA, HKG, Japan, China, and Gold, Silver, Platinum, Copper, and DXY (value of USD), and

(9) give me a report in text and in female voice file. Now I shall do walk, ice coffee, then get on with the rest of my day deliberating, shuffling, keep eyes on markets. Whilst I shall upload some articles and VLOGs ... please go organic and free-range roam however wherever in any case

ARTICLES
(1) scmp.com <<Former Nasa chief calls for new US approach to moon landing – much like China’s>> - winging it ?

(2) scmp.com <<South Korea vows ‘stern response’ as Japan renews claim to disputed Liancourt Rocks>> - joining in on the play ?

(3) bloomberg.com <<Fed Cuts Rates With Three Dissents, Projects One Cut in 2026>> - what happened ?

(4) zerohedge.com <<Stocks, Bonds, Bullion, & Bitcoin Bid as Fed Cuts Rates, Launches 'Not QE'>> - how does getting bubble more bubbly help matters to meet anti-matters ?

(5) zerohedge.com <<Russell Roars, SPX Squeezes - and With No Bubble…>> - no- or everything bubble ?

(6) zerohedge.com <<Goldman's Delta-One Head Lays Out The Bullish and Bearish Cases In Today's Fed Decision>> - which case holds more merit ?

(7) zerohedge.com <<Silver Shrugs Off 'Hawkish Cut' Fears; Goldman Traders Note 'It's Different This Time'>> - of merit ?

(8) economist.com <<The meaning of China’s record-high trade surplus>> - a comedic take ?

(9) ft.com <<China adds domestic AI chips to official procurement list for first time>> - unexpected turn in the trade- / tech- wars

(10) ft.com <<China set to limit access to Nvidia’s H200 chips despite Trump export approval>> - am imagining Foundation can limit sales of NVDA chips inside Foundation than the Empire can push same sales ?

VLOGS

(11) youtube.com <<Nvidia chips and the U.S., China competition for AI ecosystem dominance>> - am thinking the forward-evolution will not be as straightforward as CNBC makes it out to be ?

(12) youtube.com <<U.S. Just Begged China To Buy AI Chips As $12B Farmer Bailout Begins To Collapse>> - context valid ?

(13) youtube.com <<China's Open Source LLM Models Win 30% of Global Market - USA Losing AI War with Chinese>> - fast progression, seems

(14) youtu.be <<RISC V CPU's Growing Because of Chinese AI - Odd Consequences of Failed USA Trade War with China>> - what's happening ?

(15) youtube.com <<RISC V CPU's Growing Because of Chinese AI - Odd Consequences of Failed USA Trade War with China>> - Eli might be correct ?

(16) youtube.com <<THE $99 BATTERY SHOCK! Why Battery Prices Just Hit a New Record Low (LFP Dominance)>> - creative destruction on the way ?

(17) youtube.com <<December 2025 FOMC Debrief>> - boring but you, Manus, best watch the VLOG for me and take account ? BTW, what is the 'FED guy' saying ?

(18) youtube.com <<BRITAIN’S SUBMARINE CRISIS EXPLODES: UK's Nuke Fleet Near Collapse Top Admiral Warns>> - UK denuclearizing ? How is the French nuclear order of battle - seems de-nuclearization is organically happening in some domains. In such a case, would the Empire really want to see Germany and Japan go nuclear war ? Just-saying and 'nuff-said, about the quiet parts. I refer you to earlier discourse regarding nuclear weapons aging / testing attached

ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS

(19) FOMC just did whatever, now what for the markets to end-December, 2025, say DJIA, S&P500, Nasdaq, gold, silver, BTC, ETH and DXY, JPY, Nikkei, and Japan 10-years bond rate ? and in such context, a lot of wars, tech and otherwise, and races, space and nuclear, need to happen, seems. Will a Venezuelan kinetic war helpful ? GetMoreGold & StackHigherSilver ? GoGoGo

(20) re this piece of journalism by Bloomberg bloomberg.com <<Why Your Nintendo Switch 2, Xbox Is Now ‘Made in Vietnam’ Not China>>, a few questions

(20-a) where (nations) do the parts / components of the Switch 2 / Xbox come from if you know ?

(20-b) where (nations) are the actual owners of the production facilities and economic benefits domiciled and how changed before / after relocation of the actual assemblies ?

(20-c) Do all the to & fro not simply free up precious labour in China for better use, like building hypersonic projectiles this and AI-enabled jet fighters that ? Just-asking

(21) analyze the impact of this labor reallocation on China's overall economic growth and it's "Made in China 2025" goals, especially comparing the value-add of the relocated assembly jobs versus the new high-tech sectors,

(22) Given the conclusion that the US tariffs are "subsidizing China's transition to high-tech superpower," what are the immediate investment implications for the US tech sector and for the companies like Nvidia and AMD?
(23) even for Nintendo and Xbox, are their respective supply chains actually more 'secure' and 'de-risked' or truthfully more vulnerable, particularly given what is now-now happening in the East China and South China Seas and the Taiwan Strait in between? text, voice, slides, please

(24) What do the stock price charts for Hosiden Corp, Goertek, and Pegatron look like in gold terms for the period 2023-01-02 to now 2025-12-11 ?

(25) and of the three companies, only the China company has easy access to new opportunities thrown up by the supply chain chaos tabled

(26) Re bloomberg.com <<Mexico Approves Up to 50% Tariffs on China, Other Asian Nations>> - dunno, perhaps watch for signs of enveloping TwoAPuc (The Worst of All Possible Unintended Consequences) where Mexico becomes a failed state by way of supply chain disruptions and such same, cut off by China, rejected by US, and left on sidewalk like a tin of bad cat food under the hot sun. What happens going forward, your best guess.

(24) Q: dunno, unsure why Empire weakening its erstwhile allies and 'friends' by all means possible here in Asia, there in Latin America / Mexico / Canada, and everywhere in Europe and Middle East, all the while Russia making its ally North Korea stronger, with solid-fueled ICBMs tipped with nuke warheads

(24-a) fortune.com <<North Korea unveils new intercontinental ballistic missile that may be tested in coming weeks>> - I note that N Korea was forever R&D-ing liquid-fueled rocketry and failed to get consistent / desired result, ditto atomic warheads too large for expeditious delivery on such faulty rockets, but all of a sudden, post signing mutual defense treaty with Russia, able to so rapidly pivot

(24-b) bbc.com <<N Korea fires banned missile in longest flight yet>> - and away she goes

(24-c) armyrecognition.com <<Three stages solid-fueled intercontinental ballistic missile - North Korea>> - call me tinfoil hat type, but the Hwasong-18 3-STAGES armyrecognition.com looks like a Russian 3-STAGES en.wikipedia.org with same-ish TEL upload.wikimedia.org China TEL for the DF-41 missilethreat.csis.org is same-ish as the N Korean TEL for the Hwasong-18 with cosmetic adjustments, coincidence am sure

Q: will the Empire help Japan and Germany to get nuked-up ? thus granting geopolitical freedom to both ?

(25) Given Empire would not help Germany / Japan to go nuke, would the Empire even allow (acquiesce) them to go nuke ?

(26) Analyze the immediate economic and geopolitical consequences for the US dollar's status as the world's reserve currency if both Japan and Germany go nuclear within the next five years.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (218313)12/11/2025 2:28:36 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218801
 
re <<Daily workflow 2025 12 11 Good morning Manus co-pilot, please >>