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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Julius Wong who wrote (218414)12/12/2025 9:44:47 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218505
 
whilst the retards are one battery-fire away from erasure

continue to adore low density old home garden middle class existence, preferring over high-rise / high-risk living

Southeast Asia’s rich buy sky garages while the middle class lose their homes
As wealthy buyers seek penthouses with living-room supercar parking, struggling families battle banks to keep a roof overhead

Aidan Jones, Ushar Danieleand Iman Muttaqin Yusof

Published: 9:30am, 13 Dec 2025

Daniel Ho’s clients want the best money can buy: branded residences and glass-wrapped penthouses complete with panoramic views and high-rise parking spots fit for supercars in the elite enclaves of Bangkok, Jakarta, Kuala Lumpur and Manila.

A world away, or so it seems, mid-level asset manager Charoen Kijvekin sees a very different reality playing out. His clients are debt-stricken Thais trying to claw back repossessed homes from auction and families on the bottom rung of the property ladder clinging to dreams of ownership.

Though they work at opposite ends of the market, both see the same widening divide between the haves and the have-nots. Across Southeast Asia, the rich are paying record sums for prime real estate, while the indebted fight to keep a roof above their heads – often just a job loss or family crisis away from losing their homes.

“Most of my customers have lost their jobs,” said Charoen, 68, whose JZD Asset Management provides cheap loans to people the banks have turned away.

“If they can’t keep up with payments, the bank will repossess their homes. That’s when they come to me.”

His business model is built on buying repossessed homes at auction and selling them back to their former owners, offering loans at an interest rate he says undercuts most banks.


A “sky garage” in a luxury condominium in Bangkok. Photo: Richmont’s, Christie’s International Real Estate

Sky garages
Southeast Asia is home to some of the most unequal economies anywhere in the world. In Thailand, the richest 10 per cent hold over 70 per cent of all the wealth, according to the World Inequality Database. In the Philippines, the fortunes of the top 50 richest families equal nearly one-fifth of the entire economy.

The region’s middle classes, meanwhile, find themselves squeezed harder than ever. Each month brings a little more debt, a little less security. For those with loans they cannot repay, keeping their homes can feel like defying gravity itself as the banks start to close in.

This year, life has become harder still. US tariffs have hit growth, cut-price competition from China is eating into small-business margins and job losses are mounting as AI technologies threaten white-collar work once considered secure.

Yet the wealth at the top keeps multiplying, with multimillionaires being minted at record speed.

Last year, there were more than 850,000 people in the Asia-Pacific with a net worth of at least US$10 million, according to the 2025 Wealth Report from global property consultancy Knight Frank.

North America still has the highest concentration of super-rich, but Asia is catching up. By 2028, the region is forecast to have around 930,000 people in the high-net-worth bracket.


Aurelia Residences in Metro Manila. Construction finished on the building last year. Photo KMC Savills

As fortunes swell, developers are transforming city skylines. On Manila’s exclusive Ayala Avenue, “super penthouses” sell for over US$7 million, while the ultra-luxury Aurelia Residences – where the most affordable condominium apartments cost more than US$6,000 per square metre – helped propel the Philippine capital to second globally for luxury price growth in 2024, according to Knight Frank’s Prime Global Cities Index.

Branded residences are booming too, from the luxury villas at Raffles Residences Bali, with their private butlers and chefs, to the recently launched Residences at Mandarin Oriental in Da Nang.

Thailand leads the region in such developments, according to Ho, as luxury property purchases are increasingly paired with prestige brands like St Regis or Mandarin Oriental.


A developer stands in the car lift in the Porsche Design Tower in Florida. Photo: AFP

Bangkok’s Porsche Design Tower, billed to open in 2028, epitomises this blend of aspiration and excess. Residents will have access to a “sky garage” – an automated lift that parks their supercars beside their living rooms, separated by a wall of glass.

“Buyers generally consider high-quality branded residences as a relatively safe investment,” said Ho, who is co-founder and group managing director of Juwai IQI, which specialises in finding Asian buyers second homes across Southeast Asia.

“Most cross-border buyers are purchasing for their own use, and that may include renting it out when they’re not there.”

The Thai capital excels at mixed-use developments featuring high-end retail, hotels and restaurants, topped off with multimillion-dollar penthouses.

One Bangkok, the US$3.2 billion complex launched last year beside the city’s Lumphini Park, exemplifies how developers are tapping into the wealth washing around Southeast Asia’s cities.

“These districts are designed as high-traffic hubs that draw thousands of people every day and generate stable commercial activity,” Ho said. “If the project includes office, retail, hotel and residential elements, they are not at the mercy of trends in any one market segment.”


The new One Bangkok complex in the Thai capital cost an estimated US$3.2 billion. Photo: Donald Low

Repo-landMercy can feel in short supply for Southeast Asia’s indebted middle classes, however.

Thailand’s Legal Execution Department, the main government body that helps settle debt disputes, reported a 210 per cent increase in home foreclosures this year compared to last, as economic growth slowed to between 1.8 and 1 per cent, according to forecasts.

Around one-fifth of repossessed homes on the auction block were priced at under 1 million baht (US$31,000) – a clear indicator of strain on lower-middle-class buyers.

Across the country, nearly 190,000 second-hand properties changed hands this year, Real Estate Information Centre data shows, up about one-third from the year before as debt pressures push more homes onto the resale market.

Charoen offers families a chance to buy back their homes with loans at a 6 per cent annual flat rate, or 0.5 per cent per month per 1 million baht. That is far more generous than the terms offered by loan sharks, who are many borrowers’ only fallback option when the banks turn them away.


Commercial high-rise buildings and homes are seen in Bangkok, Thailand. Photo: AFP

But his work also touches on some of the underlying causes of indebtedness.

“We help them [clients] find new income streams. We teach them skills, show them how to start small businesses and help them get back on their feet,” he said. “I fill a crucial gap.”

Many of his customers are in their forties or fifties, have recently been laid off and are desperate to keep their homes, he says.

Last year, Thai household debt fell back below 90 per cent of gross domestic product for the first time in about 3 ½ years and has since inched down further, though authorities warn it is still dangerously high.

For middle-income earners elsewhere in the region, the strain feels familiar.


Homes in George Town, Malaysia’s Penang state. Malaysia’s economy is projected to grow around 5 per cent this year. Photo: Shutterstock

“Some months are tight,” said Wong*, 25, a private-sector worker in northern Penang who spends a quarter of her salary on a US$72,000 three-bedroom home.

“I manage my salary and keep my commitments within what I can afford. Sometimes I regret it because with the same monthly amount, I could have bought a better car. [But] a luxurious life definitely isn’t part of the picture.”

Malaysians are marginally wealthier than Thais on average and their economy, projected to grow around 5 per cent this year, offers slightly more breathing room. But even so, some are struggling.

Nearly 28,500 people were declared bankrupt between 2021 and October this year, according to figures shared with This Week in Asia by Malaysia’s Insolvency Department. Housing loans accounted for almost 2,350 of those cases.

Refinancing has been rising

Khairul Fitri, Malaysian mortgage agent

Mortgage agents also report a surge in refinancing requests, fuelled by middle-class dreams of upscale dining, premium cars and fancy holidays.

“Refinancing has been rising. Year on year, it’s up by around 20 to 30 per cent,” said Khairul Fitri, group sales manager at the Melaka-based AVC Mortgage Consultancy. “Many buy based on what they want, not what they can actually sustain.”

He said lifestyle choices were a major factor, as clients in early adulthood struggled to “juggle overlapping commitments”.

“Most of them are in their thirties,” Khairul said. “They’re starting to stabilise financially and only now they realise they can’t keep spending without thinking ahead.”


Residential buildings are seen in Chinese developer Country Garden’s Forest City development in Johor Bahru, Malaysia. Photo: EPA-EFE

All that glitters …From Bangkok to Ho Chi Minh City, the “ghost towers” of stalled luxury projects stand as cautionary tales, reminders of the perils of over-leverage and how quickly hype and debt can implode.

South of Malaysia’s Johor, the Forest City development – a US$100 billion eco-metropolis of man-made islands first announced in 2006 and intended for 700,000 residents – is still only 15 per cent complete, with fewer than 10,000 inhabitants.

Years of capital controls in China, Malaysian political turmoil and the pandemic halted sales and pushed Chinese developer Country Garden to default on its debts, leaving the project’s future uncertain, despite a major government effort to revive it.

Lessons have been learned, industry insiders say. “Today, the buyer profile is completely different, Hilmi Akmal, a Kuala Lumpur-based real estate agent, told This Week in Asia. “More than nine out of every 10 [properties] are purchased for their own use.”



13:00

How Hong Kong's housing market became among the world’s most unaffordable

How Hong Kong's housing market became among the world’s most unaffordable

Outside luxury enclaves, Southeast Asia is reportedly struggling with a glut of unsold mid-range homes, ranging in price from US$67,000 to US$100,000, as developers blame a mismatch in the types of projects being built and buyers struggle to secure credit.

These patterns revealed structural weaknesses in housing and credit systems across the region, said Ahmad Farhan Khairulannuar, a social policy researcher at Malaysia’s Institute of Strategic and International Studies.

Land-scarce Singapore stands apart, with its housing supply tightly reined by the government’s Urban Redevelopment Authority.

To restore balance, Ahmad urged the authorities elswhere in Southeast Asia to take a much more active role in the market.

“Government must explore ways to reconfigure incentives for developers, to encourage truly affordable housing supply that does not project risk,” he said.



To: Julius Wong who wrote (218414)12/12/2025 9:50:09 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218505
 
re <<in the making>>
scmp.com

Role reversal: Meta adopts Qwen as Chinese AI becomes industry foundation
Throughout 2023 and 2024, Chinese firms keen to catch up with the US used Meta’s Llama to help them build their own models



Vincent Chow

Published: 10:00am, 13 Dec 2025Updated: 10:39am, 13 Dec 2025

When US tech giant Meta Platforms released its flagship Llama family of artificial intelligence models in February 2023, they were open-sourced, a move that singled it out among global AI model developers at the time.

That September, one of the many derivatives of Llama was announced: Alibaba Cloud’s Qwen. The first generation of Qwen adopted Llama’s training process and cited Meta's seminal research findings in its accompanying technical report.

Out of deference, the Chinese researchers even called Llama “the top open-source large language model”.

Two years later, the tables have seemingly turned. According to a Bloomberg report on Wednesday, it was now Meta that is reportedly taking its cues from Alibaba, with unnamed sources claiming that the Facebook owner was now using Qwen to help train a new model code-named Avocado.

The report did not specify which Alibaba Qwen model was being used. Alibaba owns the Post.


Meta released its flagship Llama family of AI models in February 2023. Photo: Shutterstock Images

The development caps a remarkable reversal in fortunes for the two leading US and Chinese open-source flagbearers. Up until very recently, Llama was the default model of choice for developers building on open-source AI software, including in China.

Throughout 2023 and 2024, Chinese firms keen to catch up with the US used Llama to help them build their own models. The practice was controversial enough that start-ups like renowned Taiwanese venture capitalist Kai-Fu Lee’s 01.AI received blowback for not adequately revealing the contributions of Llama to their own models.

The Chinese industry’s reliance on Llama at the time was highlighted by experts, including Jeffrey Ding, an assistant professor at George Washington University, as evidence of China lagging the US in AI. Even Chinese industry insiders themselves warned that China’s AI efforts were hindered by its reliance on Meta’s models.

While Alibaba had similarly been open-sourcing its Qwen models since 2023, it always trailed Llama on key performance benchmarks. It took until January this year, when DeepSeek pushed Chinese AI to the forefront, that global adoption of both DeepSeek and Qwen’s open-source models exploded.

According to a US government report in September, downloads of DeepSeek and Qwen models on the developer platform Hugging Face increased nearly 1,000 and 135 per cent, respectively, in the first nine months of the year.


Qwen and DeepSeek alone captured 14 per cent of open-model downloads in the past year. Photo: Shutterstock Images

The two Hangzhou-based firms have led the way in helping China overtake the US in the global open-source model marketplace for the first time, according to a study published last month by Hugging Face and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Chinese-made models made up 17 per cent of total open model downloads in the past year, the data showed, compared with 15.8 per cent for US-made models. Qwen and DeepSeek alone captured 14 per cent of downloads.

Central to Meta’s demise had been the underwhelming performance of its foundational models on key industry benchmarks, said Su Lian Jye, chief analyst at Omdia. The company’s Llama 4 model release in April was widely seen as a failure as it did not get close to the frontier of the technology.

Meanwhile, third-party benchmark data shows that Alibaba has continuously improved the strength of its models over the past year while staying true to the commitment made in November last year by CEO Eddie Wu Yongming to continue open-sourcing its models.

According to leading third-party benchmarking firm Artificial Analysis, Qwen models scored highly on a new index that ranked models based on their combined openness and intelligence, in contrast to leading closed US models such as OpenAI’s GPT-5 and Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3 Pro, which had top scores for intelligence but low scores for openness.

In contrast, Meta was now looking set to abandon its open-source strategy, with Bloomberg reporting that the Avocado model could be released as a closed model despite CEO Mark Zuckerberg claiming in July last year that his company would continue on the open-source path.

“Meta is committed to open source AI,” he wrote at the time. “Open source AI is good for the world.”



To: Julius Wong who wrote (218414)12/12/2025 9:52:21 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218505
 
re <<Over 10 years in the making: China launches>>

scmp.com

US green tech retreat echoes mistake of China’s Qing dynasty before collapse
While Washington pulls back on climate, Beijing is making it possible for developing nations to leapfrog into a cleaner energy era



Holly Chik

Published: 6:00am, 13 Dec 2025Updated: 7:07am, 13 Dec 2025

In 1865, when a British entrepreneur built a demonstration railroad near Beijing, Empress Dowager Cixi saw not progress but danger – of disruptions to feng shui, imperial graves and rural order – and had the tracks torn up.

Two decades later, when a Chinese-built coal line threatened to steam too close to sacred grounds, Cixi’s solution was not innovation but regression. She ordered that the locomotive be replaced with horses.

By clinging to tradition in the face of technological transformation, the Qing dynasty(1644-1911) delayed modernisation until it was too late. Within decades, imperial China would collapse under the weight of its own resistance to change.

As the world races towards a clean energy future, is history repeating – not in Beijing, but in Washington? Once the global leader in climate science and sustainable innovation, the United States is increasingly choosing to invest in the past.

US President Donald Trump has prioritised reviving the coal sector to power the rise of artificial intelligence and the re-industrialisation of America, even as emissions rise and renewable momentum stalls.


Empress Dowager Cixi, who effectively ruled China from 1835-1908, discouraged the building of railways. Photo: Getty Images

Meanwhile, as the US retreats from climate science leadership, China – once criticised for the size of its carbon footprint – is making it possible for developing nations to leapfrog into a cleaner energy era.