To: tntpal who wrote (49760 ) 12/23/2025 10:13:31 AM From: tntpal Respond to of 49808 Relentless earthquake swarms rattle California. What does that mean for the Big One? Mon, December 22, 2025 For more than a month, the Bay Area has been subjected to a seemingly ceaseless stampede of earthquakes — the latest in a series of seismic swarms that have rattled windows and raised fears across California. The latest swarm has been centered in the East Bay suburb of San Ramon , where a magnitude 4 earthquake struck Friday night — the largest since the cluster began — and a magnitude 3.9 on Saturday night. Since Nov. 9, there have been at least 80 earthquakes of magnitude 2 or greater in the area, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. While none of these quakes has been particularly potent — which was also the case in similar swarms recorded in Malibu , El Sereno and Ontario since 2024 — some fear the persistent seismic activity could foreshadow a back-of-mind concern for many Californians: the "Big One." Advertisement But while experts acknowledge that some major earthquakes are preceded by more-modest temblors, they caution that the swarms by themselves probably don't offer a hint of when, or where, the next major quake will hit. "There's gonna be a big earthquake in the Bay Area. We just can't say exactly when and where. So you should be prepared for that," said Annemarie Baltay, a U.S. Geological Survey seismologist. The threat of a large earthquake always looms in California regardless of the appearance of small shakers. There is a 60% chance of an earthquake of magnitude 6.7 or greater in the Los Angeles region by 2043, and a 72% chance of the same in the San Francisco Bay Area, according to 30-year estimates calculated by USGS in 2014.yahoo.com