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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marc chatman who wrote (12946)2/26/1998 1:07:00 PM
From: RGinPG  Respond to of 95453
 
I think this Merryl Lynch decreasing of earnings estimates based soley on the current prices of oil typifies the folly of using earnings estimates alone to make investment decisions (as I have done without success in the past). If I didn't know better, I might think the analyst must be right in their obviously erroneous (and incredibly poorly timed) cuts in estimates. You've got to know the industry. Thanks to this board for educating me.



To: marc chatman who wrote (12946)2/26/1998 1:21:00 PM
From: Bazmataz  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
Yeah, but who really thinks these stocks will SUSTAIN these gains? Not me. Yeah, I'm holding some of them, but this isn't sustainable. Look at what's happening, selling coming in all over the place. Stocks started high (probably because of before market open imbalance of buys) but then selling into it. These stocks are coming down as we speak. We've seen better gains on days with no news. Even good news like these can't spark an impressive rally. Let's see what happens tomorrow, when people have to decide if they want to hold over the weekend. We all know what'll happen.

Even as we speak, these stocks are approaching their intraday LOWS!! That's right.. LOWS!! Once this rally fails, EVERYONE will have a reason to sell. This failed attempt to surge will confirm what everyone fears on this thread but is afraid to say - the stocks are WEAK.

Sorry to be devil's advocate, but I sold some of my ST into strength this morning and will wait for lower days - possibly tomorrow.

BC



To: marc chatman who wrote (12946)2/26/1998 1:28:00 PM
From: Czechsinthemail  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
marc,

Kind of a mixed picture with the upgrade and downward earnings revision. I would think the downward revisions are mostly related to reduced land drilling, but didn't someone say Merrill had reduced estimates on about 25 companies? I would like to see more details on their report from anyone that has access to it.

Baird