SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bull_dozer who wrote (219332)1/14/2026 8:51:33 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 219858
 
>> THE F*CKING F*CKS

zerohedge.com

What's Going On With Silver: Goldman's Commodity Desk Chimes In

BY TYLER DURDEN

THURSDAY, JAN 15, 2026 - 04:44 AM

Some commentary on the ongoing insane move in silver from Goldman specialist James McGeoch..

[url=][/url]

Silver a total standout, you read all these X threads about banks being stopped in and racing to cover to deliver etc, those in the know just laugh at this, its not the way its done.

[url=][/url]

What we can say is physical metal pull, market convinced itself in the west to get short the move (CME positioning flattened almost completely, see CTA monitor bottom), silver is a superconductor, robotics (think China 5Yr plan) and the moves continue to be in the Asian session (SHFE premium has sustained for some time) think export bans.

[url=][/url]

Gold/Silver pair down to 52x - the lowest since Dec 2012.

[url=][/url]

One thing for sure: Fresnillo production update on 28/1 (need to wait for HOC and KGH into March).

Will dig more in this channel today, instinct naturally on the move is to trim, however already had a few chats this am and those who called it very early are not of a mind to trim (conviction is a beautiful thing to behold!).

Go back to Monday and GS hosted Global Strat conference - Copper is the standout commodity. 45% expect Copper to deliver the highest price return in 2026, tripling last year’s share. Gold remains popular, with 41% expecting prices to stay around $4,000–$5,000/toz and 52% seeing further rallies. Bitcoin enthusiasm has faded sharply.

Oil outlook is bearish. 54% expect Brent crude to drop below $60/bbl, a dramatic shift from last year (when only 5% expected this). Only 10% see prices rising above $70/bbl.

Remember commodities index rebalances end Today (5 days from Jan 8), just another case of how seasoned this was (remember huge selling in Silver over the period was the standout).

I mean its not just me who is excited: Metals Are in History-Making Mode(nothing new here, just a different voice of support).

[url=][/url]



To: bull_dozer who wrote (219332)1/14/2026 9:02:05 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 219858
 
>> THE F*CKING F*CKS

... winning trade war is easy, POTUS Trump, doing great work and for good cause, am told, proven correct

I remain agnostic and wait to see by stretching out observation duration, objectively, and see where numbers trickle in

bloomberg.com

Xi Welcomes Stream of Leaders Shaken by Trump’s New World Order


Xi Jinping holds a welcome ceremony for Lee Jae Myung in Beijing on Jan. 5.Photographer: Xie Huanchi/Xinhua/Getty Images

By Bloomberg News

January 14, 2026 at 6:30 PM GMT+8
Updated on
January 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM GMT+8

Takeaways by Bloomberg AI
  • President Xi Jinping is welcoming a procession of leaders looking to mend fences with China, including South Korea's Lee Jae Myung, Canada's Mark Carney, and Britain's Keir Starmer.
  • The visits come after Donald Trump sealed a tariff truce with China, and leaders are eager to engage with Xi so they aren't sidelined by US-China maneuvering, according to Neil Thomas.
  • Foreign leaders are also visiting Beijing to discuss trade and secure access to critical minerals, such as rare earths, with China being the dominant global supplier.
Donald Trump’s tariff war occupied US allies for much of last year. Now, President Xi Jinping is welcoming a procession of leaders looking to mend fences with the world’s other major economy.

South Korea’s Lee Jae Myung kicked off the trend this month, cementing an improvement in ties by becoming his nation’s first president to visit China since 2019. Canada’s Mark Carney followed suit when he arrived late Wednesday, closing a near-decade gap in leader-to-leader diplomacy between Ottawa and Beijing in the Asian nation.

Days later, Prime Minister Keir Starmer is set to travel to the Chinese capital to buoy British business, marking a first since 2018. Germany’s chancellor, Friedrich Merz is also expected to visit next month.

The parade of politicians comes months after Trump sealed a tariff truce with China that tamped down tensions between the world’s largest economies. Xi Jinping and the US leader are slated to meet four times this year, with an April summit likely making Trump the fifth head of a Group of Seven country to visit China in half a year — if his latest tariff threats don’t blow up the detente.

“Trump is triggering diplomatic FOMO across the Western world,” said Neil Thomas, a fellow for Chinese politics at the Asia Society Policy Institute’s Center for China Analysis, using an acronym for “fear of missing out.” “His approach leaves leaders eager to engage Xi so they aren’t sidelined by US-China maneuvering.”

Underscoring the shift, the Trump administration this week moved closer to allowing Nvidia Corp. to sell more advanced chips to China, while still withholding top-tier goods. Previously, under Joe Biden the US had rallied partners to blunt Beijing’s access to cutting-edge semiconductors deemed crucial to its military goals.

Xi is seizing the opportunity to isolate Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, whose comments suggesting Japan might deploy its military if China attempts to seize Taiwan have enraged Beijing. In a carefully choreographed move, China’s Commerce Ministry unveiled export curbs on Tokyo during the visit of South Korea’s Lee — who quickly clarified ties with Asia’s top economies were of equal importance.

“Beijing wishes to present itself as a predictable — if not always agreeable — great power in international affairs,” said Yu Jie, senior research fellow on China at Chatham House. “It also opens the opportunity for China in gauging how much it can do in isolating the Japanese prime minister’s move to irritate China over cross-strait matters.”

Foreign leaders have another reason to visit Beijing this year: Rare earths.

When Trump and Xi sealed a trade pact last October, Beijing agreed to a one-year suspension of tighter export controls on some critical minerals, of which China is the dominant global supplier. Trump hailed that pact as a win for the world, but leaders of Western economies are keen to make their case with Chinese authorities.

During his December trip, German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul claimed progress in efforts to secure the metals, saying Beijing indicated it would be constructive in handling European orders.


Johann Wadephul in Guangzhou in Dec. 2025.Photographer: Soeren Stache/picture alliance/Getty Images

Underscoring concerns about China’s chokehold, finance ministers from G-7 nations, along with officials from other countries, met on Monday in Washington to discuss ways to “address vulnerabilities in critical minerals supply chains,” the US Treasury said.

Overtures from US partners also come in the wake of Trump’s tariff war that last year pressured American allies into pledging billion-dollar investments. At the same time, the Republican leader has brought Vladimir Putin out of isolation, stunned the world by deposing Venezuela’s leader and made invasion threats toward Greenland, a semi-autonomousterritory of NATO member Denmark.

When it comes to repairing ties with China, “the reasons for not doing it have evaporated,” said Kurt Tong, a former senior US diplomat in Asia, noting the “less confrontational” relationship between Washington and Beijing.

“A lot of countries are concerned about their economic relations with China, want to try and shape them,” said Tong, who’s now a managing partner at The Asia Group. “It’s an important economy, and everyone needs to do business with China.”

China's Trade Surplus Hits New High Despite US Levies
Record $1.2 trillion goods trade surplus shows manufacturing prowess

Source: China's General Administration of Customs

Many foreign governments harbor concerns about China flooding their economies with exports, with French leader Emmanuel Macron calling the situation “life or death” for European industry after his December visit to Beijing. But most are taking a pragmatic approach.

Australia’s Anthony Albanese gave an early template for balancing ties during his first term in office, where he largely played down anything security-related and focused on restoring trade. His visit to China in November 2023 helped close a tense chapter, after Beijing imposed punitive measures on some Australian goods. He visited the Chinese capital a second time last year.

Evidence of the shift was seen in the European Union’s decision this week to consider setting minimum prices to replace tariffs imposed against Chinese electric vehicles since 2024. Such a system could draw a line under a spat that saw Beijing retaliate by targeting European industries including dairy, pork and brandy.


Emmanuel Macron plays table tennis at Sichuan University in Dec. 2025.Photographer: Sarah Meyssonnier/AFP/Getty Images

Similarly, China is hoping to press Carney to relax Canada’s 100% tariffs on Chinese-made electric cars — introduced to align with Biden-era levies — during his trip, according to people familiar with the matter. In return, Beijing will propose easing restrictions on Canadian rapeseed products.

Read more: Carney Lands in Beijing as China Urges Removing Tariffs

Britain’s Starmer will also be chasing deals to help his economy’s struggles with anemic growth, while juggling concerns over China as a national-security threat. A decision by the UK government on Beijing’s plan for a massive new embassy in London that’s due this month still has the potential to influence his plans.

Facilitating the shift is a change of guard in many nations. In Canada, Carney has taken over from Justin Trudeau, whose leadership was marked by an extradition spat with Beijing that soured ties — tensions caught on camera during a heated exchangewith Xi at a G-20 summit in 2022.

Canadian Canola Exports to China Plunge After Tariffs
China imposed latest tariffs after Canada hiked levies on Chinese EVs

Source: Statistics Canada

Note: Beijing's 2019-2022 restrictions were viewed as retaliation for Canada's arrest of a Huawei executive on a US extradition warrant. Canola is known as rapeseed in China.

In the UK, the Conservative Party that had criticized Beijing over alleged human rights abuses in Hong Kong has been replaced by Starmer’s Labour Party. South Korea’s new leader has taken a more dovish approach than his predecessor, and pushed China to lift its de facto ban on K-pop entertainment.

With Xi, 72, traveling abroad less — he skipped the recent G-20 leaders’ summit in South Africa, for example — the impetus is on foreign leaders to subscribe to his home-court diplomacy.

“Faced with a US acting belligerent and erratic on the international stage, many leaders will conclude they need to be at least on decent terms with China,” said Alexander Dukalskis, associate professor in politics and international relations at University College Dublin.

For Xi, whose economy is also seeking growth drivers, that’s a win.

“When your enemy is engaging in self-harm, just sit back and enjoy the show,” Dukalskis added.

— Colum Murphy, Michael Nienaber, Allan Wan, Ben Westcott.



To: bull_dozer who wrote (219332)1/14/2026 11:02:03 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 219858
 
>> THE F*CKING F*CKS

the f*cktards at suspect Bloomberg cannot even make a sensible case cogently

bloomberg.com

Silver Tumbles After Trump Holds Off on Critical Mineral Tariffs

By Yihui Xie

January 15, 2026 at 7:36 AM GMT+8
Updated on
January 15, 2026 at 10:52 AM GMT+8

Takeaways by Bloomberg AI
  • Silver retreated sharply after surging to a record high as the US held off from imposing tariffs on imports of critical minerals.
  • The decline in silver may be due to profit-taking after it surged more than 20% over the previous four sessions, as well as concerns about US tariffs being eased.
  • Silver fell 4.6% to $88.9020 an ounce, while gold declined 0.5% to $4,602.44, and platinum and palladium also declined.
Silver retreated sharply — after surging to a record high — as the US held off from imposing tariffs on imports of critical minerals.

The white metal tumbled as much as 7.3%, while gold also dropped. Profit-taking may also be part of the decline in silver, after it surged more than 20% over the previous four sessions.

Concerns about US tariffs on silver, along with platinum and palladium, were temporarily eased as President Donald Trump said he would negotiate bilateral agreements to ensure adequate supplies of critical minerals. He floated price floors on imports — not just percentage-based tariffs — to develop supply chains, but didn’t rule out levies in future, according to a statement late on Wednesday.

“The order suggests the administration will take a more surgical approach in making future decisions,” Daniel Ghali, a senior commodity strategist from TD Securities, said in a note. That “significantly alleviates the fear of a broad-based approach that could have inadvertently impacted the underlying bars that underscore benchmark metals prices,” he said.


A broad metals rally sent silver and gold to fresh peaks on Wednesday, along with copper and tin, as investors turned to hard assets due to an array of geopolitical, economic and supply risks. Frenzied buying in China and the US, and a broader rotation into commodities are bolstering demand.

Silver has been prone to sudden swings in recent weeks, with the metal’s 14-day exponential average true range, an indicator of market volatility, spiking. Much of that may be down to technical factors, rather than fundamental drivers.

“Much of what traders see on the screen reflects forced flows, margin dynamics, option hedging and short covering rather than genuine supply-demand price discovery,” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank AS, said in a social media post. “In this environment, technical levels lose reliability, stops are easily triggered, and even correct macro views struggle to survive short-term noise.”

Read More: Silver’s Torrid Rally Has Americans in Frenzy to Buy, Sell Coins

Trump’s renewed threats against the Federal Reserve have buoyed precious metals, reviving the ‘sell America’ trade. The US’s seizure of Venezuela’s leader, the president’s repeated threats to take Greenland as well as the precarious situation in Iran are also contributing to haven demand.

Silver fell 4.6% to $88.9020 an ounce as of 10:50 a.m. in Singapore. Gold declined 0.5% to $4,602.44. Platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady.

Gold’s rally has legs beyond January, according to the latest Markets Pulse survey. While silver and copper have hit similar milestones, there are signs that flows into these metals are wavering as investors weigh the longevity of supply constraints.



To: bull_dozer who wrote (219332)1/15/2026 12:25:10 PM
From: bull_dozer1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Pogeu Mahone

  Respond to of 219858
 
>> THE F*CKING F*CKS




To: bull_dozer who wrote (219332)1/15/2026 3:22:08 PM
From: bull_dozer  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 219858
 
>> THE F*CKING F*CKS