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Strategies & Market Trends : World Outlook -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Les H who wrote (51092)1/23/2026 2:56:54 PM
From: Les H  Respond to of 51376
 
I got your Americas First Doctrine, Old Man ...
I got it right here!

Thomas PM Barnett

Jan 20, 2026

Thanks to hardening trends nobody seems poised to reverse—and political choices now slamming the door on immigration—the United States faces a demographic chasm straight through to 2050. Picture fertility tanking below 1.5 kids per woman while sealed borders mean zero net newcomers, leaving an aging superpower to atrophy under skyrocketing entitlement costs. Ditch the doomsday talk of outright collapse. Instead, envision Japan dialed up to eleven: population cresting in the 2030s before backsliding, labor force stuck in amber, GDP crawling below 1 percent yearly, and savage political brawls exploding over who bankrolls grandma’s endless golden years.

Consider China by contrast—its demographic hellscape isn’t some forecast; it’s unfolding right now, dwarfing our hypothetical slide in sheer savagery. Yet Western pundits swoon over Beijing’s “scary collapse” with that mix of fear and fascination, blind to the mirror held up to our own fuse-lit powder keg. Sure, both roads dead-end at barren nurseries and overflowing elder warehouses, but Beijing’s crisis crashes in fast-forward.

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[POST/POD] I got your Americas First Doctrine, Old Man ...