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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (219812)	1/28/2026 8:12:01 PM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 219886

T minus 6 hrs. Manus: The evacuation warning is the penultimate move before kinetic action. The final move is actual evacuation orders (not just warnings). If Beijing issues mandatory evacuation orders, the timeline compresses to days, not weeks. Lunar New Year 2026 (January 29) remains the critical window. If China is going to seize Senkaku/Diaoyu, doing so before the Spring Festival allows the government to frame it as a nationalist victory heading into the holiday period. The domestic political boost would be enormous. Grok 4.1, Expert level: Yes, the Senkaku Islands (known as Diaoyu in China) remain under Japanese administration and effective control as of January 2026, with Japan treating them as an inherent part of its territory based on historical and international legal grounds. Despite ongoing territorial disputes and increased Chinese Coast Guard incursions near the islands in recent years, including record highs in 2025, there has been no change in actual control, and the U.S. continues to recognize Japan’s administration under mutual security treaties. Japan has responded by bolstering maritime defenses and urging local fishermen to avoid the area to prevent escalations. Me: The reality: You decide what is true and what is not and what is miss-diagnosed and what is not but always test reality against the certifiably true headlines. So far……yawn. For now and foreseeable future: Xi has self-decapitated the PLA senior leadership. My view is that anything that triggers US involvement is off the shelf for that reason. I might be wrong but Manus say zero about this major consideration. Spin away.