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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RGinPG who wrote (13061)2/27/1998 9:04:00 AM
From: Teddy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
We still have Cramer on our side. Jim dude, when are you going to start posting here? (BTW, do you mind if i post your copywrite stories?) From thestreet.com (sign up for two weeks weeks, its worth it)

Cramer on the Oil Industry Merger

By James J. Cramer
2/27/98 8:10 AM ET

Just when the shorts in the oil patch thought they could print
money they get whacked upside the head by the
Halliburton-Dresser. Wow, that's an awesome amount of
pain dealt to those short-sellers who have had the free ride of
their lives since October.

The drilling group has been one long nauseating gauntlet for
months now. In past times when oil has gone down, the
owners of these companies have just battened down the
hatches and watched their net worth slide with Brent crude.

But not this time. This merger is significant for one main
reason: Dresser is a proud company that has always liked
to go it alone. When it does partnerships, it likes them
joint-venture style. Stock prices have come down so far,
though, that Dresser felt motivated to bring out some value
here. I think Dresser management felt compelled to get the
stock higher.

I have suffered with this group for many months now, paring
it back as the tide against crude turned, trying hard to keep
some exposure, but not so much that I hurt my fund. One of
the main reasons why I kept some exposure was because
the companies insisted to me that they would do what is
necessary to preserve value. That this time it is different.
They argued that just because crude dropped, that didn't
mean shareholders should have to sell.

That reasoning has been costly, until yesterday. I'm betting
there are more mergers to come. Do you return to the group
aggressively? Watch today's action and the action on
Monday. If the stocks slink back to where they were before
this, I will look for more merger candidates. If Merrill Lynch,
which cut numbers drastically for the group yesterday, is
right, the only game in town for this group will be the merger
game.

But if the stocks continue to rocket today and early next
week, maybe the long awaited base is upon us. I would love
to know the answer, but the stocks have to tell us first.

Believe me, it is more fun to have stocks go up because of
number bumps and day rates, but it is nice to see that these
stocks can go up at all. And it felt great to see the shorts
scramble for a session.