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To: Tim Luke who wrote (36597)2/27/1998 10:05:00 AM
From: Greg h2o  Respond to of 61433
 
I agree....I think 60 is feasible if there is a buyout after October. Otherwise, I'd put a target of more like upper 40's to 50.
regards,
greg



To: Tim Luke who wrote (36597)3/1/1998 7:58:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 61433
 
Apple's Newton bomb
Another retreat by computer maker
Handheld unit is dropped amid Palm Pilot popularity

Fri Feb 27 16:51:26 1998
By Thom Calandra, CBS MarketWatch

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- The bomb Apple Computer dropped on its
Newton unit comes at a time when handheld digital assistants have never been
more popular.

Apple (AAPL) said Friday it will discontinue development of the Newton
operating system and Newton OS-based products. See related story.

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You have to wonder. The Palm Pilot, 3Com's (COMS) dominant
personal-digital assistant, should see sales of more than 1 million units this
year at about $300 each.

Apple's Newton, powered by a 1993 operating system, was the predecessor
to the Palm Pilot, which has become the latest rave product for hyperactive
executives.

Yet ailing Apple, its stock having doubled since Dec. 31 even as it took a
beating in the desktop-computer market, lost an early lead and admits it.

To be sure, the retreat came as a surprise to few if any analysts. Still, you
have to ask the question: Is this latest retreat another heads-up for investors in
Apple, whose common stock and bonds have become high-strung speculative
instruments?

Loss of momentum

Yes, says one industry researcher.

"On top of Apple losing more and more desktop market share, this latest
news probably indicates a loss of momentum," says Jim Balderston, a
computer industry analyst at Zona Research Inc. in Redwood City, Calif.
Apple's desktop computers hold about 3 percent of the worldwide market vs.
perhaps 6 percent or more in 1996.

Certainly, Apple lost the "size" game with its Newton, whose operating
system powered products such as eMate and Message Pad. (See Apple press
releases.)

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"The main problem was that Newton wouldn't go into your pocket," said
Balderston. "This was the odd middle ground between a pocket-sized device
and a laptop."

Apparently, Newton wouldn't fit into Microsoft's pocket, either. Microsoft
(MSFT) earlier this year said it would try to play catch-up with 3Com's Palm
Pilot by extending its Windows operating system into these handheld digital
assistants.

Balderston says investors had best dig into their pockets, look at their Apple
holdings and decide whether they want to be holding shares of a company that
keeps retreating and retreating.

Steve Jobs, Apple's interim CEO, put it like this: "To realize our ambitious
plans we must focus all of our efforts in one direction.''

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Yet another warning flare

Balderston says all of this is a warning flare from a company in the tow lane
of a super-freeway.

"It may be that even though there was a business here for Apple, it doesn't
have the flexibility and needs to focus," he says. "This is still a company in
really serious trouble, despite its loyalists. In many markets, the fight has past
them. It is an island-hopping campaign. They are left in the rear, and the
battle has gone around them."

Let's give Balderston credit for saying what he thinks, even in the face of
Apple stalwarts who may deluge him with electronic protests.

Apple shares Friday were little changed after the Newton bomb dropped. It
sold for 23 5/8, up 1/8 for the day.