To: jas singh MD who wrote (256 ) 3/1/1998 9:53:00 AM From: John S. Baker Respond to of 603
I bought ALTIF as a technology stock, rather than as a mining stock, and I have absolutely no expertise in mining stocks, especially not-yet-producing ones. Having said that, my understanding is that mining stocks normally are evaluated on the basis of two factors; "proven reserves", ie stuff that's really in the ground but hasn't been brought up yet, and the cost of production (including refining, if any). If that's accurate, then I reckon that the Tennessee property would be valued by many outsiders at "near zero" because the cost of recovery BY CONVENTIONAL MEANS is more than the finished material is worth. Once the company has demonstrated that the Ti on that property indeed can be recovered cost effectively (using the jig), then the value of that property would skyrocket. On what date does this happen? I would reckon that the results of this test should be a pretty good indicator. Although with technology "stories" there always is some residual skepticism and some delay in getting getting the capability recognized. When will this be reflected in the stock's price? I dunno. My guess is that it is *not* been fully reflected by any means at this time. My take is that a lot of people view ALTIF as just another mining stock -- long on hopes, short on real stuff, possible high payoffs, but remember Bre-X! Clearly it is not a household name at the big-name Wall Street firms. This investment is in my "for the long haul" pile. I got in a under $9 and am waiting to see the technology enable the hidden value of this property. Your other question dealt with the issue of financing recovery of the Ti from the property. True, ALTIF cannot afford to do this themselves. And I question whether they really want to be just another mining company. But once they prove that the jig will work, they can sell the property ... or maybe better just the mining rights ... *and* collect royalties upon the use of the jig as well. That would be my game plan. But I am not a mining expert.