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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: michael ehrenberg who wrote (31508)2/28/1998 9:02:00 PM
From: yard_man  Respond to of 176387
 
Prudent ones have already sold. You won't convince anybody over here.

Just kidding.



To: michael ehrenberg who wrote (31508)2/28/1998 9:23:00 PM
From: Chuzzlewit  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 176387
 
Michael and other bears, here's a trick question: It sounds to me as if some of you are saying this company is overbought, so how do you know a stock is "overbought"?

For every buyer there is a seller, so the number of buyers equals the number of sellers. So if a stock is "overbought" then it is also "oversold". Are you suggesting that the volume is too high, or is this simply a fancy way of saying that the price is too high?

If, in reality, you are simply suggesting that the price is too high, then what is the proper price, and how did you arrive at it?

Now, perhaps I've got this wrong. Maybe what you are suggesting is that the price of the stock went up too quickly. If so, what is the proper rate of increase in a stock price, and how do you calculate this?

To my warped way of thinking, this constitutes a dilemma. T/A afficianados contend that past price behavior is predictive of the future, and stock prices behave like masses subject to Newtonian physics. Now the value guys contend that prices can diverge substantially from underlying "value", but that the time it takes to return a stock to proper valuation levels in indeterminate. So, it seems to me that the idea of "overbought" is inconsistent with either of those market views, and certainly has no place in MPT, so from whence comes this idea, and how do you justify it?

Regards,

Paul



To: michael ehrenberg who wrote (31508)2/28/1998 9:57:00 PM
From: BUYandHOLD  Respond to of 176387
 
Michael
Curiousity overcame me and I decided to check the PEs out.
I used a total of 67 Hardware Manufactures from Market Guide (Code: CMPTRS.
30 were omitted(PEs were "NM") and thus 37 were used.
The industry average as it turns out was 35.1 as of Feb 20th.
Intrestingly, "heavyweights" like SGI and GTW made DELL look pretty tame.

Good investing.

Charles.
Price P/E
% Change Excluding Current Industry
TICKER NAME 52 Weeks Xord Items Price Description

NWRE Neoware Systems, Inc. -70.31 237.5 2.375 Computer Hardware
TBTI Telebyte Technology NA 152.8 2.75 Computer Hardware
SGI Silicon Graphics, Inc. -42.89 101.2 14.063 Computer Hardware
NCDI Network Computing Devices -28.26 71.1 10.313 Computer Hardware
GTW Gateway 2000, Inc. 39.72 62.1 43.313 Computer Hardware
DELL Dell Computer Corporation 248.45 48.1 126.313 Computer Hardware
MXWL Maxwell Technologies Inc. 62.5 40.5 27.625 Computer Hardware
DEC Digital Equipment Corp. 76.75 38.1 59.875 Computer Hardware
DNCC Dunn Computer Corporation NA 37.1 8.688 Computer Hardware
FEP Franklin Electronic Pbls. -6.93 36.5 11.75 Computer Hardware
PCCG PCC Group, Inc. -20.36 35.8 2.688 Computer Hardware
CPQ Compaq Computer Corp. 106.13 28.0 34.063 Computer Hardware
TECD Tech Data Corporation 103.18 26.8 48 Computer Hardware
IM Ingram Micro, Inc. 48.95 26.7 35.375 Computer Hardware
SUNW Sun Microsystems, Inc. 37.55 24.9 46.25 Computer Hardware
HWP Hewlett-Packard Company 16.22 22.1 64.938 Computer Hardware
SQNT Sequent Computer Systems 4.91 22.0 20 Computer Hardware
SVTG Savoir Technology Group 2.22 21.9 11.5 Computer Hardware
ETRC Equitrac Corporation 63.1 21.3 17.125 Computer Hardware
MUEI Micron Electronics, Inc. -32.3 20.4 13.625 Computer Hardware
DGN Data General Corporation -7.59 16.9 18.25 Computer Hardware
IBM IBM 45.31 16.7 102.625 Computer Hardware
SRA Stratus Computer, Inc. 53.49 16.5 49.5 Computer Hardware
MRCY Mercury Computer Systems NA 16.1 10.5 Computer Hardware
VTCH Vitech America, Inc. 14.91 14.5 16.375 Computer Hardware
PMRY Pomeroy Computer Resource 15.71 14.2 20.25 Computer Hardware
CAII Capital Associates -8.91 14.0 3.188 Computer Hardware
MICA MicroAge, Inc. -5.99 13.7 12.75 Computer Hardware
SECX SED Intn'l Holdings, Inc. 41.22 13.3 13.063 Computer Hardware
ATEC ATEC Group, Inc. 17.25 13.1 4.031 Computer Hardware
ICO Inacom Corp. 13.27 13.0 29.875 Computer Hardware
CCUR Concurrent Computer Corp. -4.24 12.7 2.125 Computer Hardware
PERLF Perle Systems, Ltd. -44.2 12.4 1.5 Computer Hardware
HERZ Hertz Technology Group -78.72 11.0 1.25 Computer Hardware
ENPT En Pointe Technologies -12.37 10.8 10.625 Computer Hardware
TRNT TransNet Corporation NA 8.7 2 Computer Hardware
DPT Datapoint Corporation 181.3 8.0 2.813 Computer Hardware

Total 1300.2
Average 35.1



To: michael ehrenberg who wrote (31508)2/28/1998 10:05:00 PM
From: LWolf  Respond to of 176387
 
michael, it my observation that stocks typically reach the performance measure set by the analysts' recommendations, then drop!

So if a word of caution might be sent; it is to watch the consensus from the analyst and the houses. Once that is reached; take your money off the table.... because that is what they will do.

The trend is our friend, remember! The analysts can be our friend too, if we work with them! For long timer's is doesn't matter what this stock does in the short term.... long term DELL has been and will continue to be very successful. For those coming into the stock recently, possibly beware of short term gyrations.

Bottom line; everyone has to understand his entry and exit point, and his investment horizons.

Regards,
Laura