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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gottfried who wrote (13165)3/1/1998 12:41:00 AM
From: William Nelson  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Anybody read the oil articles in the latest Scientific American?
They believe oil production will peak within 10 years...if they are
right then this oil cycle could end with a peak as high as the last
(1980).

A quote from the article:

" It is important to realize that spending more money on oil
exploration will not change this situation. After the price of
crude hit all-time highs in the early 1980's, explorers developed
new technology for finding and recovering oil, and they scoured the
world for new fields. They found few: the discovery rate continued
to decline uninterrupted. There is only so much crude oil in the
world, and the industry has found about 90% of it."

Another thing they claim is that many producers are inflating their
reserve estimates for various reasons. They state that oil is being
pumped 3 times as fast as it's being discovered, yet reserve
estimates keep going up.

Are they just chicken littles?