To: Oeconomicus who wrote (7713 ) 3/1/1998 4:01:00 PM From: Pullin-GS Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
Some TA for Friday's close: The big pop YHOO experienced over the last 2 days saw some volume and price levels (2 days in a row) that YHOO has not seen in quite some time, making a new shares-traded AND an all-time high for the stock. A very strong show of momentum indeed. Is YAHOO be in an overbought situation? Could be. But given that the stock is "in style" right now among individual investors and institutions, being overbought and little change fundamentally (PE of over 3,600...at least it's got earnings.<VBG>) may not really matter. First off, YHOO closed way above it's 21, 50, and all other EMAs . YHOO was trading closely with the 21 EMA, and just over the 50 EMA for most of the year (up until thursday). Currently the 21 EMA is pegged at 64.5. The 50 EMA is currently at 62.55. Looking at the chart I see a breakout above both of these important moving averages on thursday, with a huge confirmation of the breakout on friday, only to be accented with a close near the high of the day. A new high for the stock. This is very Bullish. ....but.... this upward price movement was created by volume momentum in which YAHOO has never seen before. First off the the 21 V-EMA (Volume Exponential Moving Average) is currently trading around 1.2 MM shares. Thursday's volume was WAY above the average at 230% of the V-EMA (2.6MM). And Friday's volume....It was 440% of the 21V-EMA (6.25MM). I don't see how this can be sustained. If volume slacks off, the price will as well. The upper envelope (resistance was marked at 67 pre-breakout) of the Bollinger Bands was attacked on Thursday, and was crossed on Friday with authority. Currently established new trading range, and the bands have become wide and loose, suggesting future volitity. Support is now marked at 69.5 (and rising). Bullish. But such a quick rise leaves open the greater possiblility of a correction. A smooth transition to these levels would have been more desirable. MACD and RSI both went bullish these past few days. Monday will be an important day for YAHOO technically.