To: Bret P who wrote (200 ) 8/16/1998 12:02:00 PM From: Thomas Kirwin Respond to of 601
Napeague Letter Overview - 8/12/98 THE NAPEAGUE LETTER Wednesday, August 12, 1998 Editor: Bob Davis napeague.com -------------------------------------------------- UPDATES OF PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED COMPANIES Currently, I am not making any new investments at all. Instead, I am waiting patiently for the market trends to resolve themselves. However, I am also spending quite a bit of time and effort to identify stocks which will be strong investment candidates, for purchase after the dust settles. I don't believe that we have yet felt the full impact on the US markets of the "Japanese Financial Crisis". As a result, right now is a good time to watch and think.... As of the close of the market on Wednesday, August 12, 1998: Initial Analysis --- High --- Current Theoretical Symbol Date Price Price Date Price Value ------ ---- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------------- TASA 9/5/97 $0.72 $1.34 12/3/97 $0.84 $1.60 - 2.00 ---------------------------------------------- TOUCHSTONE APPLIED SCIENCES - (NASDAQ:TASA): I am quite sure that TASA's price will not "react" until the next piece of news is released - but I continue to expect that the next piece of news will be positive. It will be either the announcement that the Drake acquisition has been completed, or the release of positive third quarter results - I am not expecting either piece of news until later in August. What investors don't yet understand is that TASA currently has a great deal of seasonality in its business, and that the profitable quarters will the the third and fourth. We should receive third quarter results by late August and the Company is currently in its fourth quarter. As of the Close on August 11th, technical indicators are also relatively inconclusive for TASA, although momentum-based indicators may be signaling the beginning of a move upward. NOTICE This analysis is based on publicly-available information, and is in no way warranted by me as to accuracy or completeness. I do not guarantee to advise you as to any change in this information. I currently may be a stockholder in these Companies as the result of purchasing the stock on the open market, and I may from time to time purchase or sell these Company's securities on the open market. I otherwise have no affiliation with any of these Companies, and I am not compensated by any of them in any way whatsoever.