To: Steve Fancy who wrote (1111 ) 3/4/1998 1:48:00 PM From: Steve Fancy Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 22640
INSTANT VIEW-Brazil's 7.25 pct unemployment rate Reuters, Wednesday, March 04, 1998 at 13:22 BRASILIA, March 4 (Reuters) - Brazil's official rate of unemployment rose to 7.25 percent in January, up from 4.84 percent in December. Following are reactions from economists to the figures. THOMAS MALAGA, ECONOMIST, UNIBANCO "We expected unemployment to rise throughout the year but we weren't ready for such a big jump so soon." He said companies appeared to have reacted quickly to Brazil's doubling of interest rates and shed jobs ahead of an expected downturn in the economy. "There could be an improvement (in unemployment) through the rest of the year but it won't be significant. Our expecations are that unemployment in 1998 will average about seven percent." JOAO MARCOS MARINHO NUNES, PARTNER, MCM CONSULTORES "It was a big jump, no doubt about it. Our expectations are for unemployment to rise to a maximum of about 7.5 percent before falling again." He said January's jobless rate -- along with a smaller than expected trade deficit of $214 million in February -- suggested Brazil's expected economic slowdown was starting to bite. "These are factors which indicate that the economy really is in recession. Perhaps the slowdown will be deeper than had been previously thought." RITA RODRIGUES, ECONOMIST, TENDENCIA CONSULTORES "We were expecting a rate around seven percent, but nonetheless, it's high." She said Tendencia expected unemployment to continue rising until reaching a high of 8.7 percent between August and October and falling again in November and December when end-of-year seasonal factors would boost demand and jobs. william.schomberg@reuters.com)) Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service