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To: John J. Thrall who wrote (649)3/3/1998 1:32:00 PM
From: Mark  Respond to of 1394
 
John,

If it's all sooooo bad, it makes you wonder why Lehman Brothers would
have posted a "Buy" in the last two weeks...... (After all it's not
like you'd expect an analyst to look closely at all the numbers, or
anything :-)

And yes, I'll bet the cable lobby is strong...... can't see that influencing
the WSJ any...... :-)

And it's not like the government is currently angry at the cables having
too much control.......

And it's not like DISH (and the other DBS companies) would be a good
way to break that monopoly........

(I'd love to be able to read the full article, but copies of the WSJ
aren't too common in the UK ! It *sounds* to me that this article has
a slightly vested interest ! Yup, DISH has lots of debt, but that's
normal for a high cap venture like this. The roll-out is going very
well, and it's amazing how quickly that debt will fall once DISH hit
the subscriber levels. As someone who has seen the successes (and
failures) of DBS in Europe, I think DISH has got it right).

Me sell ? No, I think not........

Mark

p.s. Thanks for writing up the key points.



To: John J. Thrall who wrote (649)3/3/1998 4:45:00 PM
From: Mark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1394
 
John,

Well, we've closed on a $3/4 drop and volume at 200k-ish. At the worst
point today we were down 1 3/4 at 19 3/4, but we levelled quite
quickly at 20 7/16 before rising at the close back to 20 3/4.

It seems that this WSJ article has done all the damage that it's going
to do, and whilst there might be some more fallout tomorrow, I'd
certainly expect things to be back to normal (i.e. upwards !), by Thursday.

The conclusion I came to after thinking about this is "Do we know
anything more today than we we knew yesterday ?". The answer, of
course, is no. So what has happened today is that some small
investors, who maybe hadn't appreciated the "reality" of DISH, were
spooked by an article that showed things in a harsh perspective.

I'm sticking by the Lehman analyst (plus my own instinct, and those
of the other longs here !).

Mark