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To: Brian Moore who wrote (5826)3/3/1998 3:35:00 PM
From: Elmer Flugum  Respond to of 19080
 
See post #5825...the URL is there.



To: Brian Moore who wrote (5826)3/3/1998 7:56:00 PM
From: hasbeen101  Respond to of 19080
 
I saw Chris Date a couple of years ago, when the Informix / Illustra deal was just getting underway.

He made a point about object databases: The demand is teensy.


This is quite right. But things can change. When I graduated from University, everyone told me that UNIX was an academic toy that would never amount to anything. My first boss thought relational databases were a newfangled toy that nobody would adopt. And I forget the exact attribution for the quote, but most people have heard the famous quote from an IBM (?) executive in the forties estimating that the total world demand for computers would be "probably about six" (he was serious).

In summary, only time will tell. But simply extrapolating the historical trend is a completely unreliable way of measuring the diffusion of technology.