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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve Fancy who wrote (1123)3/5/1998 2:13:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 22640
 
Brazil's Kandir sees rates at 20 pct by mid-'98

Reuters, Thursday, March 05, 1998 at 11:30

SAO PAULO, March 5 (Reuters) - Brazil's Planning Minister
Antonio Kandir said he expects interest rates to fall to 20
percent a year by mid-1998 particularly if the government gets
congressional approval of its pension reform bill.
"We are creating conditions to lower interest rates to an
annualized 20 percent by the middle of this year," Kandir told
reporters Thursday, noting that approval of the social security
reform is a key element in allowing for further sharp rate
cuts.
Late Wednesday, Brazil lowered its TBC prime lending rate
to 28 percent a year from 34.5 percent, the largest cut since
October, when rates were nearly doubled to defend the real
currency during the worst days of the Asian financial
turbulence.
Kandir said the pension reform would help the goverment
save 3.4 billion reais in the first year of its implementation,
reducing pressure on Brazil's fiscal accounts and allowing for
lower interest rates.
Speaking at a conference on Brazilian capital markets,
Kandir said Wednesday's steep rate decline was possible due to
several factors: improved foreign reserves, investors'
perception of lower risk after the government's fast response
to the Asian crisis, and prospects for approval of key reforms.
But he recognized that domestic interest rates are still at
high levels.
He also stressed that the government would not do anything
that could put Brazil's economic stability at risk.

Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service



To: Steve Fancy who wrote (1123)3/5/1998 2:25:00 PM
From: DMaA  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 22640
 
I understand this from a human perspective but not a good idea economically. If the statistics are believable ( I wonder ) they have had a unimaginable jump in unemployment in one month.

We'll have to watch the currency targets even closer now.