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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim McMannis who wrote (29564)3/5/1998 1:41:00 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 1572551
 
Asia & lower ASP weren't culprit, part III
PC prices have been dropping steadily for the past two years, but those cuts have
been driven mostly by lower prices for computer components such as disk drives,
microprocessors and memory. There is some evidence that more recent price cuts,
however, are a response to lower sales volume -- and may cut into computer
manufacturers' profit margins.

''There's more inventory than what would have been liked at the end of
December,'' said Alan Loewenstein, assistant portfolio manager at John Hancock
Technology Fund. ''When you add it all up, the numbers are not as robust as
expected.''

Intel's announcement is the most significant indicator of a slowdown to date.

''In some ways, Intel is the computer industry,'' noted industry analyst Dan
Hutcheson, founder of VLSI Research Inc. in San Jose. ''Everything revolves
around their microprocessor. If their sales go down, it's certainly possible that the
industry as a whole is slowing down.''


Lesser possibilities

There are less worrisome possibilities, Hutcheson said. Intel's sales decline could
reflect that the company has been slow to react to changing market conditions,
particularly the emergence of the sub-$1,000 PC. Months after those PCs became
popular, Intel on Wednesday unveiled a new brand name for its first Pentium II
processor designed especially for low-end computers. The Celeron line of
microprocessors will be available in April.

''Consumers and businesses could simply not see the need to buy more powerful
and expensive systems to do the same things they have always done,'' Hutcheson
said.

Consumers could also be waiting until Microsoft Corp. introduces Windows 98 --
the next version of its popular operating system -- before they decide what new
computer they need to buy, he said.