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Technology Stocks : ACTM $100 Million Cable Modem Contract with MOT -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jeffbas who wrote (566)3/5/1998 6:02:00 PM
From: jtechkid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1250
 
mot pre announces -things don't look to good significant miss eps numbers



To: jeffbas who wrote (566)3/5/1998 7:50:00 PM
From: kolo55  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1250
 
Lets keep a balanced view under trying circumstances.

I agree management has shown themselves to be incompetent in a number
of critical skill areas. But don't fall into the psychological trap
of slanting factual information.

You wrote:Another way of looking at it is whether this company is a
better company than when it came public a while ago (1995?) at $12. It
has more plant and equipment, a similar customer base, a probably
weaker balance sheet, legal problems, a mgmt whose inadequacies are
now known, a higher sales breakeven level, a regional strategy which
they are trying to fix but is now known to be inferior, etc. I think
it is roughly even with when they went public.


I checked the revenues for 1995-1997. In 95 they had $116M on 8.7M
shares, in 96 they had $226M on 8.8M shares and in 97 they will report
about $267M on 9.1M shares. Clearly this is much bigger enterprise
with more customer orders and more productive capability than when
they went public. I don't think its fair to compare unfavorably
against the IPO price. I wouldn't own the stock at the valuation then.

OTOH, I agree the management has shown some serious deficiencies, and
the company has screwed up their financial reports. From my reading
of the recent 10Q, the company seems to be reporting a $37M revolving
credit facility as "Long Term Debt" on the balance sheet. If there is
an accountant on the thread, I'd like to hear an opinion on that.

Here are the relevant portions of the 10Q:

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
CURRENT LIABILITIES:
Current portion of long-term debt............... 379 38
Accounts payable................................ 34,303 26,154
Accrued expenses................................ 3,824 5,216
-------- --------

Total current liabilities.................... 38,506 31,408
-------- --------

LONG-TERM DEBT--Less current portion.............. 37,616 29,055
-------- --------

On a consolidated basis, the Company had secured revolving credit
facilities of $50.0 million at September 30, 1997, of which $36.8 million was utilized and
$7.5 million was available for use. In addition, at September 30, 1997

-9-
<PAGE>

the Company's equipment lease line of $20.0 million had $10.3 million available
for use and $9.7 million utilized for outstanding commitments.

The Company's need for, cost of and access to funds are dependent in the long-
term on future operating results as well as conditions external to the Company.
The Company believes that its current sources of and access to capital are
adequate to support operations for the next twelve months.

My comments:
I'm having a difficult time reconciling the statements made in the
10Q with the balance sheet info. It looks to me like the company has
36.8M + 9.7M = 46.5M in debt but only shows $37.6M on the balance
sheet.

Anyone have an explanation ?

Paul