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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tommaso who wrote (14713)3/6/1998 1:20:00 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Inflows can turn on a dime. I don't think you can use it for predictive value at all, BWDIK. Getting my b__ kicked today on YHOO puts I bought this mornin' so don't pay any attention to me.



To: Tommaso who wrote (14713)3/7/1998 12:18:00 PM
From: William H Huebl  Respond to of 94695
 
Tommaso,

No doubt the single leading cause of this tremendous run-up is this mutual fund cash inflow. For me, what it is doing is subtracting FA from the market and adding "what's hot" as the criteria for investment!

I have tried to explain to a co-worker that since these inflows started, we probable have at LEAST a trillion invested from this source, 20 billion a month. Now if 50% of those investors decide to increase their investment rate by 20%, that is 2 billion dollars extra coming in each month. If 50% decide to REMOVE 20%, why that is 100 billion dollars OUT... oops!

And where do you think the market will be THEN??? Especially if that were to happen March 20-25?

It's a loooonnnnngggggg way down!

Bill