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Technology Stocks : DSC Communications -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (3770)3/7/1998 10:33:00 AM
From: Moe Damghani  Respond to of 4429
 
Maybe some of those big guys like Fidelity who purchased 7.8 millions
shares up to 12/31/97 and Alliance Capital Management who purchased
12.7 millions up to 12/31/97 have realized they made a bad decision
and now starting to dump. If this is the case then we haven't seen
anything yet because this would be the beginning of it. Normally, when
these guys start buying or selling the shares, it takes them 1-3 months to do so. Once they start, it may catch the eyes of other big
holders and they may follow. I sure hope this is not the case! The
following are the top five most respected analysts on Wall Street
who follow DSC. These guys are the ones who move the stock and unfortunately 4 of them have a HOLD rating on DSC. I found this out
today from the Waterhouse Securities research. Something and
I don't know what turned these analysts bearish on DSC all of a
sudden. Unless DSC is able to change their views, we'll be in a trading range or head a lot lower. I would not add to my position
for any reasons until I see an upgrade from these guys......

FIRM ------DATE LAST UPDATED ------RATING

ROBERTSON STEPHENS & CO----02/25/98 ----BUY
MONTGOMERY SECURITIES------01/30/98 ----HOLD
UBS SECURITIES-------------01/28/98 ----HOLD
SOUNDVIEW FINANCIAL GROUP--01/28/98 ----HOLD
BROWN BROTHERS HARRIMAN----01/28/98 ----HOLD

Robertson Stephens guy, Tim S., had a buy rating on DSC before, he just maintained his rating on 2/25/98. All of the other four analysts had a buy ratings on DSC before they changed their minds and downgraded to hold.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL....



To: Ron McKinnon who wrote (3770)3/7/1998 10:53:00 AM
From: Moe Damghani  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 4429
 
From Yahoo thread....

An associate received the following email update from UBS(?) securities:
"Wall Street Tech" is the email newsletter on Telecom Equipment, Data
Networking, Telecom Software and Internet Technology by Nikos
Theodosopoulos, Scott Heritage, Mike Agarwala and Anton Wahlman at UBS
Securities LLC. For comments or to unsubscribe to the list, please send
an email to anton.wahlman@ubs.com or call 212-821-3675.
An excel model is enclosed.
Nikos Theodosopoulos 212-821-6951 nikos.theodosopoulos@ubs.com
Scott Heritage 212-821-6828 scott.heritage@ubs.com
Mike Agarwala 212-821-3192 michael.agarwala@ubs.com
Anton Wahlman 212-821-3675 anton.wahlman@ubs.com
______________________________________________________________________
Our research indicates that the recent SS7 failure was in fact
exacerbated by a software glitch in the DSC STP. It appears
that the DSC STP basically shut-down due to the generation of higher
than normal network management messages within the STP. DSC
apparently has identified this software glitch and has developed a
software patch to fix the problem. This would be the second software
problem that DSC STPs have experienced within this customer's network
since October of 1997. The good news for DSC is that it
appears they have a software fix. The bad news is that the company is at
risk of losing some credibility with their STP software
quality control in the industry in the near to intermediate term. We do
not know how, if any, this event will impact DSC's STP
business
in the US given the real time nature of these events.
Highlights:
As a follow up to yesterday's note, our research has further indicated
that a software glitch in the DSC STP exacerbated the
length of the SS7 network failure that was originally caused by a
transmission error in the network. We believe the DSC STP shut
down after generating a higher than normal network management messages
in response to the transmission error in the network.
While the creation of these messages is normal, the shutdown of the STP
is not. We believe DSC has determined a software patch for
this fix and will probably discuss this patch with customers in a timely
manner. The good news for DSC is that a fix appears to
be known. The bad news for DSC, however, is that this would be the
second software issue within this customer's SS7 network
since October of 1997. This may cause a short to intermediate term
credibility issue for DSC's STP software quality control. Given
that these events are occuring in real time, we do not have any sense if
these recent issues will impact DSC's STP business in
the short to intermediate term. These issues, however, could only be
neutral at best.
UBS Securities LLC makes a market in this security.
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