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To: dwight vickers who wrote (20832)3/8/1998 8:15:00 AM
From: Frederick Smart  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42771
 
The Fat Lady Hasn't Sung Yet....

Dwight:

I agree wholehardedly with some of your points.

>>But with the market at these levels any amount of selling makes massive amounts of liquidity evaporate.>>

What are you talking about?? Liquidity is always out there - for a price. Just depends on the price one is willing to pay. If the market perceives/internalizes danger then the price is very steep as we saw last Fall. The real thing to understand is that such a price is usally paid by those with weak hands. Strong players collect that "price" - weak players pay it. It as simple as that, period.

>>That's where I see the danger. A loss of confidence over Asia,
Zippergate, the economy, higher interest rates. Many dangers.>>

Yada, yada, yada. Just make a call. When will it turn. Stick your neck and money out and then tell us. It's a lot easier to talk about the market being high.

>>Once it starts it will be hard to stop.>>

Agree, but when will it?

Even a normal bear market could cause it. There is so much of the
average persons assets tied up in stocks that we may need no other
problems.



To: dwight vickers who wrote (20832)3/8/1998 12:57:00 PM
From: Jack Whitley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42771
 
<<Even a normal bear market could cause it. There is so much of the average persons assets tied up in stocks that we may need no other problems.>>

The Japanese people have historically saved a higher percentage of their income than any other country, and largely put it in savings accounts in their banks.

Contrast the American people, sending money into 401-ks that effectively by-pass the banks and goes effectively straight to benefit our equity/capital markets.

Which country's economy and financial health is in better shape currently ?

jww