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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: paulmcg0 who wrote (14780)3/8/1998 8:23:00 AM
From: William H Huebl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Paul,

I guess we'll see when we get there.

Pavlov is a strong drug so BTDers rein supreme until the paradyme shifts to GTHO (Get The Heck OUT).

Bill



To: paulmcg0 who wrote (14780)3/8/1998 11:14:00 AM
From: Coonhound  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
<<[Support level #5: 2,700] Scary, but a real possibility.>>

Buddy, do you notice your friends and family looking at you a little differently lately? Ha Ha Ha !!!!!!! Why don't you get a grip and come on back to reality? I like that little term you invented: SMA- Slow Motion Apocalypse. Well, I invented one myself: BKS- Big Kahuna Schizophrenic. Right now we are in the middle of the biggest bull market in history, and you guys never let up. Can anyone tell me one moment when there was not a big old bear banging his drum? The only doom and gloom prophet who is going to be correct, is the last one pounding his chest when the market finally corrects. So give it a break, and get that BKS treated.



To: paulmcg0 who wrote (14780)3/8/1998 12:03:00 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Paul,

Last October people began piling in from other threads to this one and denouncing anyone who seemed skeptical of the market's levels at that time, no matter how reasoned and politely expressed their views might be.

That seems to be one of the better psychological indicators that a real break may be near.

As soon as I see someone posting to you a message that begins, "Are you nuts!" it will probably be a good point to buy puts on the S&P for anyone who gambles that way.

Your comments on Bill's series of possible levels for the Dow seem quite astute to me. My own estimate of a possible bottom is based on the fact that when the Dow was at less than 7,000, John Templeton stated, "History has shown that bear market declines of as much as 40% are to be expected from time to time." Coming from the person who has most consistently called the market for the long term, for the last sixty years, this must be taken seriously. It implies about 4,200 on the Dow.

I now regret having got into a brouhaha (spelling?) on this thread over an attack on your views. Indignation is a useless emotion.