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To: ed who wrote (20706)3/8/1998 3:34:00 PM
From: Hector  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Ed,
Analysts are mostly people who've gotten MBA's from good schools,
but have never seen a bear market. Unfortunately, they believe
most of what they've learned in books without taking human psychology
into the equation. I've dealt with the "big money" and I'm not so
sure your conspiracy theory is necessarily true. Most of these people
are hard working slobs. OTHO, I do agree with you that stock prices
do get pushed in one direction or another by large momentum players. It was also true in 1966 and 1973 and the end result was still down big.

After the last secular bear market in 73-74, half of the money
managers went out of business. I don't believe there were many
analysts then, (we weren't much into the cult of "experts and gurus" as we are now) but I would expect in the coming bear for the same
percentages to hold true for both money managers and analysts.

Regards,
Dave



To: ed who wrote (20706)3/8/1998 4:53:00 PM
From: zurdo  Respond to of 97611
 
Beautifully stated facts, Ed.