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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tommaso who wrote (14842)3/9/1998 11:06:00 AM
From: James F. Hopkins  Respond to of 94695
 
Tommaso: I read most of your post and I generally agree with you,
but this last one don't add up.
re >>The market is terribly overvalued and to be on the long side is to be a gambler, not an investor, at this point.<<
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If your not long somthing you are not an investor, to be an
investor you got to be long.."but" you don't have to be long
on what they herd is long on.
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I do some market timeing and I know tht puts me in the "gambler"
catagory..I don't have a big problem with that. But I also
invest too. It's not always an either/or thing people can be
both. I've got a couple of stocks that I have faith in that
are long term holds, and I buy the dips every chance I get.
Were with the cyclicals I move in and out.
I did for a sort time trade in and out of SPY but have concluded
that the profit was not worth the hasssel. I'm working on
a modle that will let me play the DIA, but have not finnished
it yet, so I'm not playing that one.
--------------------------------
All in all I've done much better on the long side, even with
options than on the short side..in fact I'm a net loser on the
short side, as I over played that early on and paid too much
attention to the bears. I don't consider myself a Bull or Bear
but more a contrarian, and at times a "gambler" but I don't
and have never bought a lotto ticket, and never will.
If I can't at least handicap something I don't bet on it.
--------------------
Still back to the point, you have to be long supthin in order
to be an investor.
Jim