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Strategies & Market Trends : Three Amigos Stock Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sergio H who wrote (1613)3/10/1998 9:36:00 PM
From: Amigo Mike  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29382
 
Ok Folks,

Let's get a few things straight. As it stands today, Barrington has
right to purchase units of Antex stock. Each unit contains 142,860
common shares and the same number of warrants. Barrington has the right
to buy 24.67 of these units.

These units can be purchased beginning March 24, 1998. Barrington will
be able to exercise at anytime within two years of this date. THIS DOES
NOT MEAN ON MARCH 24TH ....... ZILLIONS OF SHARES OF ANTEX WILL HIT THE
MARKET !!!!!!!! These shares may not even come about for another TWO YEARS.
I sense a bit of nervousness of late by new and old investors
in Antex. This nervousness is not necessary as valuations for Antex
presented on this board by me and FJA at the Westergaard site TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT THESE SHARES !!!!!!! My valuation not only includes the Barrington
option ..... but also all exerciseable options held by company officers.
That valuation currently stands at $2.51 .... absolutely FULLY DILUTED.
That valuation, IMO, greatly UNDERvalues the potential of the Campy vaccine.
As Antex enters Phase III trials and significantly higher sales potentials
are factored in the valuation ..... the value rises to $6.52 FULLY DILUTED
and assuming SKB is on board.

Antex is a fully reporting company. Therefore, we will all be able to
watch the transaction flow should Barrington decide to exercise. To be more
specific, Barrington will have to pay Antex over $3 million dollars to
fully exercise the options. Antex will have to register those shares.
Barrington will have to file a Schedule 13G (if I remember correctly) to
disclose their ownership in the company as it will be more than 5% of the
stock. As Barrington buys/sells Antex shares ....... THEY WILL HAVE TO
FILE EACH TIME. WE WILL BE FULLY AWARE OF WHAT BARRINGTON
IS DOING !!!

Antex is NOT your average BB stock. There are no hidden REG S shares,
sweetheart floorless convertibles or any other easy money financings.
The Blair/Barrington option was out there as a result of Antex having no
other choice at the time Blair did a secondary offering for Antex. Antex
had to leave open the possibility of needing more money for R&D and that's
why these options are out there. SKB came later and now Antex is SOLID
as a rock and doesn't need Blair/Barrington.

The bottom line of all this is that Blair happened before SKB came along
and Antex doesn't have any power to revoke those options. I'm sure that
Antex has been held back somewhat by these options ..... but at the same
time ... it has allowed me and others to accumulate significant positions
in Antex fairly cheaply. Antex is a long term investment. The waves in
the chart provide me and others opportunity for accumulation and short term
profits. This has worked VERY well in the past .... and I am certain
that it will continue to do so going forward. IMO ..... IF Antex stock
declines ..... it will be the result of weak handed sellers who don't
understand what this company is all about. And you can bet your bippy,
I'll be pushing my way to the front of the trading line to get ANY cheap
Antex shares. I am very sure that I won't be the only one =).

I'll throw another one out into cyberspace. What happens if Antex strikes
another deal ..... say .... with a major pharmaceutical that produces
animal vaccines ??? Let's say that company pays Antex $10 million up front
for licensing rights and all the other good stuff. What if Doc decides ...
to use some of that cash to buy back the Blair/Barrington shares ??? Will
everyone still be concerned ???? NOT !! Antex would quadruple in a flash !
You are thinking to yourself ..... what does he know ??? .... right about
now. I can tell you that this is only a possibility. But it COULD happen.

Geez .... sorry for rambling on. I am a firm believer in Antex and it
pains me to see people trembling over this Blair/Barrington thing. Think
long term gains. For new investors to Antex ...... I encourage due diligence
and make up your own mind about the potential with Antex and keeping in
mind that Antex should be viewed as a long term investment. If you are
nervous about Blair/Barrington but like Antex..... either delay your purchase
or purchase a partial position in the stock and look for opportunity to
acquire the rest of you intended position. I will be more than happy
to answer any questions regarding Antex any of you may have. I've been
quiet of late, but work is slowing down finally and I should be able to
post a little more often.

Mike