SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (14896)3/11/1998 5:38:00 AM
From: Chris McConnel  Respond to of 94695
 
Hi, how's it going.

I'm having a hard time reading Dell. I still think about the crappy systems they use to sell and not real sure about the quality today. But I think their selling boxes over the internet was brilliant.

You're right a 50 PE for manufacturer is bit on the high side. Maybe now, with CPQ threatening a price war, Dell will have a harder time next quarter, but a price war this late into the quarter may not skew their earn. estimates.

But of course it all perceptions on these things, so there maybe a real good trade there.

For me, I will wait to see if Dell goes any higher before I'd buy PUTS on it. Also I'm keeping an eye on the SPX index. The SPX seems ripe for a tumble.

- Chris



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (14896)3/11/1998 10:53:00 AM
From: kahunabear  Respond to of 94695
 
I like the sound of it, but I think CPQ is a short at these levels so I would have a hard time going long. Plus, they seem to move in opposite directions a lot. How about shorting them both ?

WS



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (14896)3/11/1998 10:57:00 AM
From: kahunabear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
CPQ was 15 last year with the same sales, good earnings and a rosy future and now its 25-26 with no current earnings, what looks like a real competitive disadvantage, a merger with a perennial dog, and a future that doesn't look to rosy to me. I personally can't justify 15. How the market does is just another example of being in denial.

WS