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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 16yearcycle who wrote (17633)3/12/1998 2:45:00 PM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Eugene, here's one danger that should also be factored into long
term plans...

nytimes.com

GM :)
I couldn't resist



To: 16yearcycle who wrote (17633)3/17/1998 6:58:00 PM
From: Tom Kearney  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
Eugene,

Today's Washington Post talks about projected Federal Government surplus of $1.1 trillion over next 10 years!! Unless Congress spends it all (certainly well within the realm of possibility) this would have a tremendous downward pressure on interest rates - to what? is %3 10 year treasury bill possible? Using the so called Greenspan stock valuation model, as I understand it, this would allow a fairly valued market to have a P.E. of about 33. Of course, when rates turn around, look out. But, we should all be living in castles on the coast Ireland well before that!

Regards,
TK