To: Laptev who wrote (13718 ) 3/12/1998 7:38:00 PM From: Mang Cheng Respond to of 22053
On the topic of throwing darts, from today WSJ : March 12, 1998"'Dartboard' Pros Beat Chance, But Barely Outdo Industrials" By GEORGETTE JASEN Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL A team of investment professionals crushed the forces of chance in this column's latest stock-picking contest, but barely beat the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The four pros posted an average investment gain of 10.9% from Sept. 10, 1997, to Feb. 27, 1998, compared with a 3.3% loss for a portfolio of stocks chosen by flinging darts at the stock tables. The Dow industrials rose 10.7% during the same period. <snipped>For the contest ending Aug. 31, 1998, the four pros will be competing against a dartboard portfolio consisting of Eastman Kodak Co., Harken Energy Corp., Public Storage Inc. and Salient 3 Communications Inc. Results of the competition just ended leave the pros ahead of the darts by a score of 56 to 37 in the 93 contests since current rules were adopted in July 1990. The score is closer when the pros are compared to the Dow industrials at 49 to 44. But the professionals are far ahead of both the darts and the Dow when average investment gains are compared. In the 93 contests, the pros have racked up an average six-month gain of 11.3%, compared with 5.2% for the forces of chance and 6.9% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Experts vs. Darts the Past Six Months Performance Sept.10, 1997-Feb. 27, 1998 Clarion Group Buy: Genelabs +20.7% Tucker Hargrove Buy: Electronic Data Systems +17.8 Dominion Capital Advisors Buy: Apple Computer +3.0 Rauscher Pierce Buy: Sotheby's +2.2 Experts as a group +10.9 Dartboard Portfolio (b) - 3.3 Dow Jones Industrial Average +10.7 (b) Four stocks picked by throw of darts: Eli Lilly & Co., up 25.1%; La Quinta Inns, down 2.9%; Banco Frances del Rio de la Plata, down 9.7%; Canadian Occidental Petroleum, down 25.7%. Mang