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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael who wrote (14968)3/13/1998 12:09:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 94695
 
Some of the drillers, and supply boats do have long term contracts,
but the big boys have a way of nit picking their way out of a
lot of these if things get tight. Thing is onec the Big oil company
stocks take a hit the herd don't look past that and
driller stocks can go down ( special the small ones ) even though
they may be in good shape. After all many of them still have nice
gains from were they were early last year. In short the low oil
price will send fear into the sector including the drillers
as soon as XON and BP drop enough. The thing don't make sense,
most of the market don't make sense..if it did I guess every one
would make money. It's just the herds perception of things, and
the carpet baggers deception.
What do you make of Suro going long the bond, while his ex partner
JimmyBowTie is short the bond..( or says he is )..so much
is just cash flow right now. With all the smoke and mirrors
in the news and on CNBC , I think is just to wipelash things
and get volume up for the exchanges, total volume will also
fall off just before any big down turn.
-----------------------
Back in 96 when oil kept going up, week after week the herd
was slow to move into oil stocks..so my guess is they are
going to be slow getting out..every thing seems to go to
extreams..from way over bought to way over sold.
The supply demand tied to the cash available, and coming
into the Mutual Funds, earnings and profit margins seem to
be a short term joke.
Jim