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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dom B. who wrote (17401)3/14/1998 12:11:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
Dom B-- off topic
What a chemistry you have with me!
I was on a talk show since I have come twice- once dicussing ills of IMF advised ' private power generation' policy will and have affected Pakistan's finances very adversely and second the need of building new dams so as reduce our dependancy on imported food- we are expanding real fast 'population' growth rate is nearly three percent and food is growing only at a rate of 1% per annum in 5 years I see spectre of "famine' in my homeland and a shorfall of 10 milllion ton of wheat- we have one of largest resources of sweet water but we throw 40 MAF in sea without utilising it--- the politicians are short sighted and would like to go for projects with quicker gestation time so that they get votes and benefits of re-election accrue at the right time-- what we really need is to store this water the flow in Indus is strange as you know we have these flows emanating from few of largest glaciers outside North pole so we have 70 % of our water flowing in three summer months and 30% in rest of the other 9 months now we have two seasons of sowing crops one is known as Kharif and other rabbi-- in pre-winter months when we need water for sowing of wheat it is just too little, and in summer we are washed out with floods- this failure of harnessing of our resources is a tragic story of my very poor nation which spends most of the time in pursuit of nearness to God and in mosques forgetting in process the most basic injunction of God that 'God help those who help themselves'. It is this I talk about and persue to carry to everyone in this country- my speech is always simple and crisp== stop mutiplying control your libidos- go for family planning-- send your kids to schools and to my government my message is that nations become Somalia ( this is the topic of my thesis also) not because of famine it is the management silly' think future' and harness your resources, I hope we will snow ball into a movement of change-- but ofcourse living in Paris and talking about elimination of povery are inherent contradictions which are difficult to sell to poor masses, the only way is to make them realize the high cost of ignoring the writing on wall.



To: Dom B. who wrote (17401)3/17/1998 6:49:00 PM
From: Jenna  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 50167
 
IBD put my strategies in a nicely organized article today: (please save)

Above all else, what one factor is most likely to tip off a huge price advance in a small-cap stock? Earnings acceleration.

Quickening profit growth stands out as the best single predictor of a blowout price move. Learn to spot accelerating earings, and you've taken a key step toward finding the next big winner.

"One of the most successful attributes of successful stocks has to do with companies that are undergoing positive change in their FUNDAMENTALS," siad Gary Pilgrim who runs the $5 billion PBHG Growth fund Growth Fund. "The idea is to catch...a company when it is emerging from one rate of growth and transitioning to a higher rate of growth. That's our view of the highest potential stock to own.

The "flight to quality" which favored huge, established companies over smaller firms -- is showing signs of waning. ...Earnings growth, which slackened at large-cap companies in 1997, is expected to slow even more in 1998.

The article goes on to discuss how to spot high acceleration which is what I do when I mention velocity, projected velocity, acceleration, and correlation cooefficient. I do just that. I can spot the top 2% of companies out of an 9,000 data base.. So that's fine but then what next? Well then comes TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.. You don't want to go into these companies when they are in the midst of a correction or after a huge run. So again it is the integration of earnings date*, fundamental analysis and technical analysis that will portend the best rising stocks.

Only difference is that I'm in it for the 'pop' and not the extended holds. Because unfortunately on the flip side, it is these fantastic growth stocks that can and do retreat 20-30% after a particularly long run or earnings disappointment and you should be out by that time.

So, threaders, you must be as cognizant of fundamental analysis and not quick to dismiss stocks whose charts are not classically what you would call 'great'.. I've had 4 stocks alone first week in March that have given great gains with less than spectacular charts. Remember TECHNICAL ANALYSIS is not an exact science if stocks trended according to TA charts, everyone would be getting rich and TradeStation would be another Microsoft. It is with the combination of FUNDAMENTAL and TECHNICAL analysis that you will hold the edge and leave all the traders in the dust.

*(around earnings date because it then that the long awaited "great" quarter will give you the best price movement)

jenna
marketgems.com