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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tim Wash who wrote (21687)3/13/1998 3:41:00 PM
From: Diamond Jim  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Margined full you say, how are you going to do #2 then ? I definitely would not. If not for margin then yes I would consider doubling position at the appropriate price, I don't think its appropriate yet.
#5 if you can, if margin isn't killing you. there seems to be plenty of time, next 2 earnings are supposed to be zero and flat.

good luck and thanks you cheered me up, my position isn't so bad in comparison.

jim



To: Tim Wash who wrote (21687)3/13/1998 3:41:00 PM
From: Hugh W.  Respond to of 97611
 
How much it will cost you to sell 16 VKPAF and buy 14 CPQDE and buy 16 CPQNE?



To: Tim Wash who wrote (21687)3/13/1998 4:32:00 PM
From: VincentTH  Respond to of 97611
 
Tim

How about this double-down alternative:

For the money that you'd spend on 1400 shares, how about 32 LKPAC @$13 ea, then sell 48 CPQDF? Here is you net cost calculation:

Cost Basis: (32.5 + 2*(13+15))/3 = 29.5

Sell 48 CPQDF for 5/16 to reduce you net cost to around 29.25
or sell 48 CPQGF to reduce your net cost to 28.



To: Tim Wash who wrote (21687)3/13/1998 7:32:00 PM
From: Loki  Respond to of 97611
 
Tim...Reduce Margin...then #5

Since we do not know your financial position,
investment, horizon, etc. it is difficult to
tailor an answer suited to you.

Look at the messages on thread, watch CNBC, and
read investing publications. They vary so much
in their view of how CPQ stock or the market will
perform.

Possibly a diversified portfolio can best withstand
an uncertain environment.

Good Fortune.

Loki



To: Tim Wash who wrote (21687)3/14/1998 6:24:00 AM
From: Mike Gordon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Tim:

<i am long CPQ 1600 shares (cost basis 32.5, fully margined).---- i am long CPQ 1600 shares (cost basis 32.5, fully margined).>

A conserative approach would be:

1) See if CPQ breaks 25, if so, sell 22.5 puts when stock goes to 24.

2) Continue to sell near term covered calls on what you have and see if stock goes to 24.

3) Sell holdings, and sell 20 puts at either 25 or 22.5 near term.

Mike Gordon



To: Tim Wash who wrote (21687)3/14/1998 12:07:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Tim; for the time I'm sitting tight on my long position,
and I'm not margined. Will be buying Jan00 25 leaps Monday
or Tuesday no matter which way she moves, but will keep
some dry powder to double up on them if she latter moves
down. If she moves up I will increase my long position
with stock.
-------------------------
As with any thing in the teck sector it is so volatil that you
need to look ahead , like driving down a freeway..you got to
keep your eyes up ahead, and not be watching and focused on
all the bugs that hit the windsheild.
------------------------------
Don't buy a stock unless you see some basic reason it can really
grow in the future, or you want the safty of a dividend, or
what ever..but keep in mind the original reason you thought the
stock , was a good buy. ( hopefully not just because it had
up momentum ) what ever the reason was unless that reason
changes and it loses credit then stay the course.
-------------------------------
No matter what I read on SI..and damm little of what I see the
news pundits writing will alter my reason for going long on
CPQ.
What I see down the road is a 500% upside in 4 years, untill
something happens that changes that I'll stay long and strong,
and ignor the bugs on the windsheild.
So far I still got plenty of gas in the gas tank and any bears
better be aware that I'm not the only one. If she goes to
22 I'l put even more pedal to the metal, it's that simple.
------------------------
In 96 I went from 18 all the way down to 10.25 on AMD and
doubled up 4 times as she never lost her original reason
for my buying, my average was 12.50 when she started up.
My only mistake was I got out at a double and could have made
a triple easy.
-------------------------

Hope you can take heart from this, and being I don't want to
argue with a bunch of shorts that I consider short sighted
and shallow minded I will not state the reasons I'm so strong on
her because , I also know most of them can't even
take the back of a computer and if they do they don't know one
chip from another <g> I have at times had to fix and set up
my brokers computer and it puzzels me how they can know so
little about technoligy yet issue recomemdations.
I went through that with AMD
in 96..and it did not change my mind or theirs.
I won. ( but AMD is not a buy right now in my mind
..just a hold if you already have her target about 24 )
CPQ is going to kickass or sink into the quicksand, we
won't know for 6 months. That's the differance between me
and the die hard bears, I can say I don't know right now
but that the upside is well worth the risk.
Jim



To: Tim Wash who wrote (21687)3/16/1998 7:45:00 AM
From: James Cotton  Respond to of 97611
 
I agree you should look for a buying opportunity with CPQ. My question is how can it handle the DEC deal with current management if it is having such difficulties with manufacturing and inventories?

DEC could burry the company. If I had more confidence I would opt for 2.