To: REALYECAT who wrote (10326 ) 3/14/1998 11:14:00 AM From: Brian Lempel Respond to of 13456
Hi REALYECAT. Welcome to the thread. It's a little scary to hear that someone is actually following my picks, but CELL is an excellent choice. There has been a lot of bad mouthing of this company in the last couple weeks. It failed to make a move, and has been lagging the markets. It was recently revealed that management sold a lot of shares, although they say it was options related. It was also touted as a short pick on CNBC last week, which IMO, really killed the rally (it had gone back above $20, but quickly fell to $19). However, the reasons the shorter gave were invalid. I still have a lot of faith in the company, though. The management has proven itself by continuously beating estimates. I like the direction they are taking the company, that being towards higher margin services (logistics, packaging, inventory managment, etc.). Also pointing in the positive direction is the company's selling of LYONS. Just a couple weeks after saying that it was their intent to improve the balance sheet, they announced the deal with Merryl Lynch to sell the LYONS. What this tells me is that banks are confident enough in CELL's business that they offered them a very low 4% interest. Also, demand for these were very strong. This deal, IMO, would not have happened if there were many questions regarding this quarter. Business, according to handset manufacturers, is stable. New contracts kicking in last quarter will begin to be reflected in this quarter's numbers. Also what I like about this is the large short position. I am very confident in earnings, and feel that when they beat numbers (yet again) in April, there will be a large upward pressure. Of course, I said the same thing about APM <ggggg>! But with CELL, I really do feel more confident, and there are a number of things I learned from that dog APM that I am applying here. The most important is that management has no problem pimping this company to analysts. This is reflected in the high % institutional ownership. Also, I think with the number of meetings with brokerage houses this quarter, any bad news would already be reflected in the stock price. So I guess that sums up why I'm still bullish on CELL. Also might want to check out CREAF. That is one helluva stock! Brian