To: Yogi - Paul who wrote (9 ) 3/17/1998 7:04:00 PM From: Pierre-X Respond to of 2025
Re: MU+APM You said:I have no interest now or in the near future in any of the above ... I assume you mean you have no interest in taking a position in any of the above. <G> As always, the short term actions of individual securities remains largely inscrutable. To beat a dead horse, without fresh, demanding apps driving DRAM and HDD demand these guys are going nowhere fast. I continue to be short APM (but I have an open cover at 10 1/4). I'm starting to think about adding to my (currently very light) long positions in PC sector issues. I like The Buffett's little parable about batters at the plate in his latest annual report. berkshirehathaway.com Under these circumstances, we try to exert a Ted Williams kind of discipline. In his book The Science of Hitting, Ted explains that he carved the strike zone into 77 cells, each the size of a baseball. Swinging only at balls in his "best" cell, he knew, would allow him to bat .400; reaching for balls in his "worst" spot, the low outside corner of the strike zone, would reduce him to .230. ... If they are in the strike zone at all, the business "pitches" we now see are just catching the lower outside corner. If we swing, we will be locked into low returns. But if we let all of today's balls go by, there can be no assurance that the next ones we see will be more to our liking. ... Unlike Ted, we can't be called out if we resist three pitches that are barely in the strike zone; nevertheless, just standing there, day after day, with my bat on my shoulder is not my idea of fun. I see the current situation with most PC related issues as missing the strike zone but getting quite close. I'm betting that I'll be able to see the next killer app doing its thing in time to swing. That's of course part of what this thread's mission is -- to help us all spot that demand wave coming and get in ahead of it. God bless, PX