To: Yikes who wrote (8905 ) 3/18/1998 10:07:00 AM From: Sam Respond to
Yikes, check out internetworld.com . They might have the articles posted on-line. A quick summary would be that technologies such as xDSL will be adopted by business, not the consumer market. They provided metrics to show growth, with dial-up providing the lion-share through 2002. They interviewed people from Cisco Systems, various Research firms, and the ADSL consortium. All basically whistled the same tune - xDSL will take a long time to launch in large scale, and will be mostly used in business environments. They also mentioned how such technologies would undercut ISP's - basically an DSL line is like a T-1. The main points of the article - don't expect dial-up connections to disappear, and don't expect xDSL to take over the consumer marketplace.As for consumer vs. business sector, sometimes the link only becomes stronger after the market matures. Everyone has to work somewhere, right? They may be offered company subsidized ISP in the future. Especially the work-from-home model, I know some people who already has home ISDN for a year, paid for by their employers. No, I am not saying everyone will have such perks. Just that it may point to a trend to come. I like to hear your vision of what AOL will become in a year or two. How many subscribers? What kind of technology? Still using 33.3 and 56K? Not how much it will make, just what kind of service it will provide.
